{"ticker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-TUR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Turkiye finish first in World Cup Group D?","description":"If Turkiye finish first in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":33,"bestBid":32,"bestAsk":33,"spread":1,"volume":32541.15,"volume24h":8933.41,"openInterest":25543.53,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":44,"iyYes":1773.951924616334,"iyNo":392.8474850361433,"cri":2.125,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0313,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":15918,"askDepthUsd":20837,"volume24h":8933.41,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:40:04.134Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-USA","connectedTitle":"Will USA finish first in World Cup Group D?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGROUPWIN-26D","groupLabel":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-AUS","connectedTitle":"Will Australia finish first in World Cup Group D?: Australia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGROUPWIN-26D","groupLabel":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-PAR","connectedTitle":"Will Paraguay finish first in World Cup Group D?: Paraguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGROUPWIN-26D","groupLabel":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:35:31.454Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1163.6527323356038,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:10:31.400Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1113.0074486949302,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:00:42.569Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1169.3264000956306,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:00:51.820Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1118.7365382418418,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T09:25:23.709Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1089.9601917594875,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:06:00.218Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1180.9610836800882,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T16:05:53.419Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1236.8945071363576,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T17:12:01.418Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1183.5057907773996,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T19:26:06.939Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1239.770813498521,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T20:40:55.509Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1186.3792434357617,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T21:06:04.610Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1241.2243837273982,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T21:16:00.424Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1186.876077130686,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T23:40:56.649Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1243.4528685346675,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T00:17:29.261Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1189.3864661743225,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T02:50:46.575Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1246.213076701599,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T04:50:42.579Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1193.1921182949188,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T08:10:56.160Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1250.904098545974,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T11:45:38.478Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1199.0073473418267,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:40:44.799Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1256.6312929197006,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:40:53.773Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1211.7413664056398,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T05:50:50.395Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1270.2444395965133,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:30:58.726Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1219.4368823721763,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T17:15:49.256Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1350.7228894368,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T18:15:48.471Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1292.4180288291302,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T20:01:33.699Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1353.5600760938207,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T20:16:03.088Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1294.3777046798548,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T21:31:47.341Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1355.1194200720583,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T21:45:46.114Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1295.84544098013,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T23:01:41.327Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1356.6575242761533,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T02:15:47.656Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1300.3164157255699,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T03:15:45.308Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1244.9852936932116,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T20:30:29.424Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1520.7794251074429,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T20:45:35.403Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1454.3483143082756,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:30:29.424Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1522.091330459067,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:45:29.572Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1455.573292858446,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T22:00:28.168Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1522.7481322907286,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:00:27.711Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1628.608923884514,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:15:38.777Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1556.392250305805,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:30:23.784Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1629.3273674481131,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:45:41.939Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1557.0789949375032,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:30:28.148Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1521.6902447590433,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:31:08.624Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1691.5468998756892,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:34.788Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1681.0956990622155,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:25.238Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1764.067048762736,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:15:25.566Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1686.221457314567,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:30:48.331Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1765.3116962924184,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:42.217Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1687.4501458707668,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:24.477Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1766.5581013984417,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:46.314Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1689.0655195801746,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:15:26.893Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1768.2495896407077,"cri":2.125}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 1774%","tight LAS 0.031","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 30c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-TUR","marketTitle":"Will Turkiye finish first in World Cup Group D?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":30},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-USA","reason":"Will USA finish first in World Cup Group D?: USA"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-AUS","reason":"Will Australia finish first in World Cup Group D?: Australia"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGROUPWIN-26D-PAR","reason":"Will Paraguay finish first in World Cup Group D?: Paraguay"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Turkiye%20finish%20first%20in%20World%20Cup%20Group%20D%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":185}