{"ticker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-BEL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Belgium finish first in World Cup Group G?","description":"If Belgium finish first in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":28,"bestBid":28,"bestAsk":29,"spread":1,"volume":324310.79,"volume24h":23678.37,"openInterest":172907.86,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-11T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":16,"iyYes":5985.405449725327,"iyNo":905.2002069029047,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0357,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.01,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":8713,"askDepthUsd":7689,"volume24h":23678.37},"computedAt":"2026-06-25T22:06:42.942Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-EGY","connectedTitle":"Will Egypt finish first in World Cup Group G?: Egypt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGROUPWIN-26G","groupLabel":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran finish first in World Cup Group G?: IR Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGROUPWIN-26G","groupLabel":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-NZL","connectedTitle":"Will New Zealand finish first in World Cup Group G?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCGROUPWIN-26G","groupLabel":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":142.83000000000175,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:15:55.987Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1664.7043819478818,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:30:28.546Z","priceCents":50,"iy":1418.6326713047536,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:46:03.471Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2881.486142237368,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:15:47.064Z","priceCents":63,"iy":2418.517673216665,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:45:55.360Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2319.388985003403,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T23:30:45.146Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2229.719715268848,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T00:30:44.246Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2141.8511853532586,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T02:00:52.961Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1489.8543440278972,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T02:15:29.888Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2147.985405469026,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T02:45:31.713Z","priceCents":63,"iy":2440.2642001197046,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T03:30:52.401Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2244.358359466273,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T03:45:30.256Z","priceCents":63,"iy":2444.1990265720947,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T05:15:28.869Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2347.919554445173,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T05:31:03.547Z","priceCents":63,"iy":2451.3331222596394,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T21:15:52.667Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2411.330589907575,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T13:00:43.195Z","priceCents":63,"iy":2585.110796083717,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:00:36.991Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2870.0063411540896,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T19:31:07.092Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1921.5880585921773,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T19:45:55.199Z","priceCents":53,"iy":2082.9744164010685,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:01:00.619Z","priceCents":60,"iy":2772.2922679629346,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:16:03.243Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1924.6059029518892,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:30:56.988Z","priceCents":48,"iy":2004.24079612077,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:46:03.363Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3593.3127688645186,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:00:56.692Z","priceCents":38,"iy":3021.7491160415757,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:16:05.950Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4124.58422520541,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:30:58.008Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3598.9709542576607,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:01:56.880Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3299.714665084612,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:15:57.425Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3463.4025283933324,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:30:59.184Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3621.9681615617305,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T01:01:06.149Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3320.6534409134074,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T01:15:56.825Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3794.278869799836,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T01:31:09.099Z","priceCents":47,"iy":2108.5847575863277,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T01:45:59.262Z","priceCents":50,"iy":1870.8354689902612,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:00:56.286Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1948.2945750226856,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:16:03.227Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1949.2942643731003,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:30:56.817Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2483.891417949205,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:46:06.232Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4173.101267920226,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:01:27.947Z","priceCents":22,"iy":6651.030010232353,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:16:04.166Z","priceCents":23,"iy":6283.521991768039,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:31:01.597Z","priceCents":24,"iy":6660.7118845924815,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T10:31:03.986Z","priceCents":25,"iy":6386.701662292214,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T19:31:02.591Z","priceCents":24,"iy":6892.267938779568,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T21:15:57.790Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7318.419606750497,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:31:01.869Z","priceCents":25,"iy":6595.193639703668,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:46:12.729Z","priceCents":24,"iy":6965.788786436047,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:01:50.860Z","priceCents":25,"iy":6620.314389359129,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T07:46:14.648Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7515.107759773248,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T09:30:57.204Z","priceCents":25,"iy":6764.687712361771,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:00:58.512Z","priceCents":27,"iy":6120.391043487049,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T13:46:00.608Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5862.4074239314705,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 5985%","tight LAS 0.036","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 25c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-BEL","marketTitle":"Will Belgium finish first in World Cup Group G?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":25},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-EGY","reason":"Will Egypt finish first in World Cup Group G?: Egypt"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-IRI","reason":"Will IR Iran finish first in World Cup Group G?: IR Iran"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCGROUPWIN-26G-NZL","reason":"Will New Zealand finish first in World Cup Group G?: New Zea"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Belgium%20finish%20first%20in%20World%20Cup%20Group%20G%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":179}