{"ticker":"KXWCHOST-2038-GRTU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Greece or Turkey be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?","description":"If Greece or Turkey are announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":5,"spread":5,"volume":30,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":30,"status":"active","closeTime":"2034-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":2729,"iyYes":153.80071897026983,"iyNo":1.1629543967506226,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.31,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":3120,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T00:54:18.254Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-AUCP","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay be announced as hosts for the 2038 Me","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-AUNE","connectedTitle":"Will Australia or New Zealand be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA Worl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-BCP","connectedTitle":"Will Brazil, Colombia or Peru be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA Worl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-CAM","connectedTitle":"Will Cambodia be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?: Cambodi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-CHN","connectedTitle":"Will China be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?: China","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-EGY","connectedTitle":"Will Egypt be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?: Egypt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-FBN","connectedTitle":"Will France, Belgium or the Netherlands be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-ITA","connectedTitle":"Will Italy be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-PACO","connectedTitle":"Will Panama or Costa Rica be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-UKIR","connectedTitle":"Will United Kingdom or Ireland be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA Wor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCHOST-2038-USA","connectedTitle":"Will USA be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCHOST-2038","groupLabel":"KXWCHOST-2038"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T06:02:07.626Z","priceCents":3,"iy":429.31449854659985,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T06:16:14.883Z","priceCents":2,"iy":650.612998582002,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T11:32:00.503Z","priceCents":3,"iy":431.2328802495341,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T13:30:57.611Z","priceCents":4,"iy":320.1000933990684,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T15:15:56.968Z","priceCents":5,"iy":253.4192412989681,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T21:31:44.512Z","priceCents":6,"iy":208.97965667401596,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T21:45:58.037Z","priceCents":7,"iy":177.22047809381033,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T22:15:57.605Z","priceCents":8,"iy":153.40169865657023,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T23:45:57.539Z","priceCents":7,"iy":177.2259186418955,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T01:45:56.943Z","priceCents":5,"iy":253.45980862048413,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T03:03:05.236Z","priceCents":3,"iy":432.2828146672137,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 154%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 7c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCHOST-2038-GRTU","marketTitle":"Will Greece or Turkey be announced as hosts for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":7},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCHOST-2038-AUCP","reason":"Will Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay be announced as h"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCHOST-2038-AUNE","reason":"Will Australia or New Zealand be announced as hosts for the "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCHOST-2038-BCP","reason":"Will Brazil, Colombia or Peru be announced as hosts for the "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Greece%20or%20Turkey%20be%20announced%20as%20hosts%20for%20the%202038%20Men","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}