{"ticker":"KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10-LMESSI10","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FIFA World Cup?","description":"If Lionel Messi records more goals than the count of Kylian Mbappé's total goals during the entire tournament of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":48,"bestBid":48,"bestAsk":49,"spread":1,"volume":8569.35,"volume24h":1044.21,"openInterest":7185.85,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-03T02:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":38,"iyYes":1041.3100536346003,"iyNo":887.2701048720852,"cri":1.083,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1058,"askDepthUsd":5127,"volume24h":1044.21},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T02:51:20.160Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10-KMBAPP10","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FIFA World Cup?: Kylia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10","groupLabel":"KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FIFA World Cup?: Tie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10","groupLabel":"KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:02:17.287Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1019.4826856583635,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:31:23.969Z","priceCents":48,"iy":979.8941012233705,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:02:02.336Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1020.5190535575996,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:16:02.122Z","priceCents":48,"iy":980.6474546566803,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:31:50.603Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1021.0506925674161,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:46:59.767Z","priceCents":48,"iy":981.1584493354177,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T19:00:59.758Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1021.5575306665288,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T19:46:33.530Z","priceCents":52,"iy":982.1820379708059,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:00:59.294Z","priceCents":48,"iy":982.4260644156792,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:16:44.041Z","priceCents":52,"iy":982.6946335967662,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:31:01.845Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1202.7374199620303,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T21:16:40.224Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1155.6719520000363,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:00:58.125Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1112.9683684133201,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:01:37.323Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1070.0988009029877,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:16:00.824Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1312.0928841123741,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:31:24.615Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1259.4893029675638,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:31:04.379Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1210.2586655218508,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:31:12.004Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1163.1956695431672,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:45:56.839Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1118.4934464362823,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:15:59.380Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1074.8501426589537,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:31:00.886Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1032.7848460112189,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T06:46:04.701Z","priceCents":48,"iy":993.4842508144687,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T09:30:56.814Z","priceCents":49,"iy":957.2352638991952,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T09:46:05.469Z","priceCents":50,"iy":919.9516080250024,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T11:30:56.187Z","priceCents":51,"iy":959.2413876973878,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:15:57.383Z","priceCents":52,"iy":1000.2698304284403,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:31:07.052Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1224.2844364937391,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:31:19.214Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1130.0245987920134,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T15:02:00.691Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1226.2392206764976,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T15:31:34.915Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1086.5155210202995,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T17:01:28.076Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1004.2583092057365,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T18:31:35.171Z","priceCents":49,"iy":966.3909826350729,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T19:02:54.005Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1006.4053618393148,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T19:46:10.440Z","priceCents":49,"iy":967.646355536611,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T20:46:21.059Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1285.245599081083,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T21:15:57.023Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1340.0104662066599,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T22:02:31.393Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1286.984856498453,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T22:31:09.159Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1236.012796787139,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:01:19.481Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1187.3669730739562,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T00:15:55.662Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1141.7667667667668,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T00:45:57.209Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1012.5647657336988,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:15:56.007Z","priceCents":49,"iy":973.323663712622,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:31:22.574Z","priceCents":50,"iy":936.4256760223716,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T03:16:22.932Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1015.2686129012933,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T07:02:02.000Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1247.324592168924,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T09:46:28.688Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1201.1207326131312,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:00:57.879Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1153.7555245205378,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:45:56.297Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1113.8563503940031,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:31:37.928Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1070.859987201715,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:16:38.130Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1039.7493207117188,"cri":1.083}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1041%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 43c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10-LMESSI10","marketTitle":"Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FIFA World Cup?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":43},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10-KMBAPP10","reason":"Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FI"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCMESSIMBAPPE-26LMESSI10KMBAPP10-TIE","reason":"Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FI"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lionel%20Messi%20or%20Kylian%20Mbapp%C3%A9%20have%20more%20goals%20in%20the%20FI","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":156}