{"ticker":"KXWCMOV-26JUL14FRAESP-FRAPEN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will France win in Penalty Shootout?","description":"If France advances past Spain in the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Semifinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 via victory in Penalty Shootout, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":10,"spread":1,"volume":91222.93,"volume24h":41404.16,"openInterest":89663.96,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-28T19:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":15,"iyYes":24890.77733564144,"iyNo":243.46733053821472,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1111,"cvr":null,"overround":0,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":119976,"askDepthUsd":416652,"volume24h":41404.16,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-07-14T01:02:15.509Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":null,"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T22:16:46.875Z","priceCents":4,"iy":49039.91490791021,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T22:31:02.238Z","priceCents":6,"iy":32030.097649321306,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T23:01:50.125Z","priceCents":7,"iy":27194.289559700046,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T00:16:03.424Z","priceCents":8,"iy":23606.658793093753,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T19:46:00.230Z","priceCents":9,"iy":21750.091675834257,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T03:31:19.962Z","priceCents":8,"iy":25217.78311805347,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T04:02:09.684Z","priceCents":9,"iy":22200.16575767298,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 24891%"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 10.1","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 9c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCMOV-26JUL14FRAESP-FRAPEN","marketTitle":"Will France win in Penalty Shootout?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":9},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20France%20win%20in%20Penalty%20Shootout%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":213}