{"ticker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-POR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?","description":"If Portugal is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":19,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":19,"spread":2,"volume":12350.94,"volume24h":79.42,"openInterest":11910.15,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-03T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":70,"iyYes":2528.711454783267,"iyNo":106.08181309803517,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1176,"cvr":null,"overround":1.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":602,"askDepthUsd":16940,"volume24h":79.42},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T02:59:01.853Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-ARG","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Argentina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-AUS","connectedTitle":"Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Australia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-AUT","connectedTitle":"Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Austria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-BEL","connectedTitle":"Will Belgium qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-BIH","connectedTitle":"Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Bosnia and Herzeg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Brazil qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-CAN","connectedTitle":"Will Canada qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Canada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-CIV","connectedTitle":"Will Ivory Coast qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Ivory Coast","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-COD","connectedTitle":"Will Congo DR qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Congo DR","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-COL","connectedTitle":"Will Colombia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-CRO","connectedTitle":"Will Croatia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Croatia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-CUW","connectedTitle":"Will Curacao qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Curacao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-DZA","connectedTitle":"Will Algeria qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Algeria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-ECU","connectedTitle":"Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Ecuador","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-EGY","connectedTitle":"Will Egypt qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Egypt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-ENG","connectedTitle":"Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: England","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-ESP","connectedTitle":"Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Spain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-GHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ghana qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Ghana","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-HTI","connectedTitle":"Will Haiti qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Haiti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: IR Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will Iraq qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-JOR","connectedTitle":"Will Jordan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Jordan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-JPN","connectedTitle":"Will Japan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-KOR","connectedTitle":"Will Korea Republic qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Korea Republic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-KSA","connectedTitle":"Will Saudi Arabia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Saudi Arabia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-MAR","connectedTitle":"Will Morocco qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Morocco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-NED","connectedTitle":"Will Netherlands qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Norway qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Norway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-NZL","connectedTitle":"Will New Zealand qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-PAN","connectedTitle":"Will Panama qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Panama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-PAR","connectedTitle":"Will Paraguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Paraguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-QAT","connectedTitle":"Will Qatar qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Qatar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-RSA","connectedTitle":"Will South Africa qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: South Africa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-SCO","connectedTitle":"Will Scotland qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Scotland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-SEN","connectedTitle":"Will Senegal qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Senegal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-SUI","connectedTitle":"Will Switzerland qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-TUN","connectedTitle":"Will Tunisia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Tunisia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-TUR","connectedTitle":"Will Turkiye qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Turkiye","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-URU","connectedTitle":"Will Uruguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Uruguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-USA","connectedTitle":"Will USA qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-UZB","connectedTitle":"Will Uzbekistan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Uzbekistan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26FINAL","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":24.9,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T04:30:59.060Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2707.4197700547597,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:15:53.963Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2936.125474232435,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:31:14.245Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2708.9090583648754,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:45:48.620Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2936.9331269963936,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T06:01:13.262Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2709.654317105976,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T07:16:12.939Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2939.3587534646786,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T07:30:48.246Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2711.8569992570256,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T10:45:57.976Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2944.956796667573,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T11:16:00.515Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2717.415105412057,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T12:00:43.816Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2946.969568948198,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T12:16:05.763Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2718.915413467943,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T12:46:16.874Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2948.209566137009,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T13:00:46.810Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2720.0238467844106,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T13:30:43.711Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2949.411808922464,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T13:46:12.767Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2721.133184230145,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T14:00:47.236Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2950.2267886983473,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T14:46:18.379Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2722.6376017972475,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T15:15:52.744Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2952.246773595872,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T18:16:56.292Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3221.6141854505386,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:00:38.288Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2958.3233591625085,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T16:15:39.891Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2761.238530068797,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T16:31:15.969Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2993.715010538563,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:46:12.689Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3267.3786887270026,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T21:45:53.696Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3002.4945861359165,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T22:01:16.017Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2770.1140188751688,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:16:05.183Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3275.6159251358517,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T01:01:50.355Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2774.7965298273857,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T05:30:54.607Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3285.2197698742602,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:16:08.427Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3021.878050518022,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T14:00:49.268Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2795.0828164344566,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T14:15:58.385Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2589.9120139480187,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T16:15:47.612Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2798.6000234532153,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T21:46:38.927Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2600.9148162223787,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:01:58.573Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2807.7558315799,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:16:03.032Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2601.621049201694,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:46:29.142Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2808.937900064282,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:46:15.563Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2605.3350736223842,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:00:58.075Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2812.4900848959537,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:39.156Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2606.079151366789,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:30:58.259Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2813.293434893,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:46:04.310Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2606.7881920827094,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:16:05.148Z","priceCents":17,"iy":2424.932743035572,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:30:55.393Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2607.8879679908546,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:15:35.770Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3346.6581371060124,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T16:45:23.226Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3076.2747576906863,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T17:00:34.017Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2838.193253287593,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:31:10.521Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2637.827792690481,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:00:23.762Z","priceCents":17,"iy":2462.257441836838,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T18:15:43.978Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2668.054356603826,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:00:26.574Z","priceCents":17,"iy":2526.2738315722936,"cri":4.882}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2529%","44 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 17c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCROUND-26FINAL-POR","marketTitle":"Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":17},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26FINAL-ARG","reason":"Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Argentina"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26FINAL-AUS","reason":"Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Australia"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26FINAL-AUT","reason":"Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?: Austria"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Portugal%20qualify%20for%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%20Final%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":258}