{"ticker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ARG","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?","description":"If Argentina is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":50,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":50,"spread":1,"volume":5088.97,"volume24h":101.53,"openInterest":4978.03,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-03T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":71,"iyYes":538.7477262762158,"iyNo":497.32152663944396,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":7.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":5620,"askDepthUsd":9591,"volume24h":101.53,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T02:06:08.685Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-AUS","connectedTitle":"Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Australia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-AUT","connectedTitle":"Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Austria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-BEL","connectedTitle":"Will Belgium qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-BIH","connectedTitle":"Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Bosnia an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Brazil qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-CAN","connectedTitle":"Will Canada qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Canada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-CIV","connectedTitle":"Will Ivory Coast qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Ivory Coast","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-COD","connectedTitle":"Will Congo DR qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Congo DR","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-COL","connectedTitle":"Will Colombia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-CRO","connectedTitle":"Will Croatia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Croatia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-CZE","connectedTitle":"Will Czechia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Czechia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-DZA","connectedTitle":"Will Algeria qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Algeria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ECU","connectedTitle":"Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Ecuador","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-EGY","connectedTitle":"Will Egypt qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Egypt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ENG","connectedTitle":"Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: England","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ESP","connectedTitle":"Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Spain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-GHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ghana qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Ghana","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-HTI","connectedTitle":"Will Haiti qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Haiti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: IR Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will Iraq qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-JOR","connectedTitle":"Will Jordan qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Jordan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-JPN","connectedTitle":"Will Japan qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-KOR","connectedTitle":"Will Korea Republic qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Korea Republic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-KSA","connectedTitle":"Will Saudi Arabia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Saudi Arabia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-MAR","connectedTitle":"Will Morocco qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Morocco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-NED","connectedTitle":"Will Netherlands qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Norway qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Norway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-NZL","connectedTitle":"Will New Zealand qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-PAN","connectedTitle":"Will Panama qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Panama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-PAR","connectedTitle":"Will Paraguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Paraguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-POR","connectedTitle":"Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Portugal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-QAT","connectedTitle":"Will Qatar qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Qatar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-RSA","connectedTitle":"Will South Africa qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: South Africa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SCO","connectedTitle":"Will Scotland qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Scotland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SEN","connectedTitle":"Will Senegal qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Senegal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SUI","connectedTitle":"Will Switzerland qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SWE","connectedTitle":"Will Sweden qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Sweden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-TUN","connectedTitle":"Will Tunisia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Tunisia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-TUR","connectedTitle":"Will Turkiye qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Turkiye","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-URU","connectedTitle":"Will Uruguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Uruguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-USA","connectedTitle":"Will USA qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26QUAR","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:05:23.421Z","priceCents":47,"iy":482.5951419670424,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T09:30:24.408Z","priceCents":48,"iy":464.1748936653089,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T12:00:15.952Z","priceCents":49,"iy":446.5027786792584,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T15:55:26.151Z","priceCents":50,"iy":429.81629769194535,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T19:30:27.840Z","priceCents":46,"iy":505.45382367739586,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T19:35:23.895Z","priceCents":50,"iy":430.59209362133856,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:00:56.197Z","priceCents":46,"iy":516.2450883378899,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:06:00.218Z","priceCents":50,"iy":439.7802303725481,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T03:45:41.768Z","priceCents":47,"iy":499.34577830183196,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T06:56:07.516Z","priceCents":48,"iy":480.49270501697185,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T08:55:46.776Z","priceCents":46,"iy":521.1933450141286,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T18:55:48.346Z","priceCents":47,"iy":503.2040401990967,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T22:30:38.309Z","priceCents":48,"iy":484.3121644517934,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T04:50:56.012Z","priceCents":46,"iy":526.5089650773094,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T04:55:43.902Z","priceCents":48,"iy":485.90118541456746,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T05:00:45.557Z","priceCents":49,"iy":466.8542276202147,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T07:06:02.913Z","priceCents":48,"iy":486.4451470304805,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T07:51:08.761Z","priceCents":46,"iy":527.3189190577499,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T09:21:06.300Z","priceCents":47,"iy":506.9287689741251,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:16:02.673Z","priceCents":46,"iy":528.2420554646119,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T05:40:54.455Z","priceCents":47,"iy":512.2726980233875,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:25:42.123Z","priceCents":50,"iy":454.4605615389404,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T02:15:47.656Z","priceCents":47,"iy":531.1666748581748,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T05:30:49.161Z","priceCents":48,"iy":511.1780472459946,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T07:30:46.292Z","priceCents":49,"iy":491.65000541435677,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T09:30:46.659Z","priceCents":50,"iy":472.8775571015845,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:00:40.026Z","priceCents":46,"iy":572.579291047486,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:16:09.833Z","priceCents":47,"iy":550.0998966625473,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:01:01.096Z","priceCents":48,"iy":532.2537947620395,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:45:54.246Z","priceCents":46,"iy":576.9973887282052,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:30:53.537Z","priceCents":47,"iy":554.808449837372,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T11:30:59.551Z","priceCents":46,"iy":578.2198573196298,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T17:31:02.423Z","priceCents":47,"iy":557.3175696056371,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T21:16:21.304Z","priceCents":46,"iy":581.4052958323476,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T21:31:06.040Z","priceCents":47,"iy":558.5730789431666,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:31:09.393Z","priceCents":46,"iy":582.4722830667536,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:00:58.075Z","priceCents":47,"iy":559.6820068816729,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:30:55.393Z","priceCents":50,"iy":496.74056533159137,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:02.113Z","priceCents":46,"iy":589.1517171784805,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:46:12.065Z","priceCents":50,"iy":501.9389972221458,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T18:15:43.978Z","priceCents":51,"iy":528.9437208427411,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T18:30:26.426Z","priceCents":50,"iy":508.27159806160535,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T19:00:27.790Z","priceCents":51,"iy":529.1721235024912,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T20:45:35.403Z","priceCents":47,"iy":573.9085650476186,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:15:32.562Z","priceCents":48,"iy":551.5030637767676,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:30:29.424Z","priceCents":47,"iy":574.15674345537,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T22:15:42.732Z","priceCents":46,"iy":597.9656426113169,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T07:45:33.083Z","priceCents":47,"iy":577.5971718788255,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T10:15:33.340Z","priceCents":48,"iy":555.7038994134953,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:15:31.023Z","priceCents":49,"iy":537.3531912977362,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 539%","44 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 45c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ARG","marketTitle":"Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":45},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26QUAR-AUS","reason":"Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Au"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26QUAR-AUT","reason":"Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Aust"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26QUAR-BEL","reason":"Will Belgium qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?: Belg"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Argentina%20qualify%20for%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%20Quarterfinals%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":303}