{"ticker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-ECU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?","description":"If Ecuador is one of the teams to qualify for the Semifinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":7,"spread":2,"volume":60401.95,"volume24h":2408.61,"openInterest":42308.42,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-03T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":38,"iyYes":14879.480974560469,"iyNo":60.622602431436945,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.2,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":52526,"askDepthUsd":20702,"volume24h":2408.61},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T03:51:50.016Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-ARG","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Argentina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-AUS","connectedTitle":"Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Australia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-AUT","connectedTitle":"Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Austria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-BEL","connectedTitle":"Will Belgium qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-BIH","connectedTitle":"Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Bosnia and H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-BRA","connectedTitle":"Will Brazil qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-CAN","connectedTitle":"Will Canada qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Canada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-CIV","connectedTitle":"Will Ivory Coast qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Ivory Coast","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-COD","connectedTitle":"Will Congo DR qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Congo DR","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-COL","connectedTitle":"Will Colombia qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-CPV","connectedTitle":"Will Cape Verde qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Cape Verde","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-CRO","connectedTitle":"Will Croatia qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Croatia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-CUW","connectedTitle":"Will Curacao qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Curacao","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-DZA","connectedTitle":"Will Algeria qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Algeria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-EGY","connectedTitle":"Will Egypt qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Egypt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-ENG","connectedTitle":"Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: England","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-ESP","connectedTitle":"Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Spain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-FRA","connectedTitle":"Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-GER","connectedTitle":"Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-GHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ghana qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Ghana","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-IRI","connectedTitle":"Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: IR Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will Iraq qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-JPN","connectedTitle":"Will Japan qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-KOR","connectedTitle":"Will Korea Republic qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Korea Republic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-KSA","connectedTitle":"Will Saudi Arabia qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Saudi Arabia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-MAR","connectedTitle":"Will Morocco qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Morocco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-MEX","connectedTitle":"Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-NED","connectedTitle":"Will Netherlands qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Norway qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Norway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-NZL","connectedTitle":"Will New Zealand qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-PAR","connectedTitle":"Will Paraguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Paraguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-POR","connectedTitle":"Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Portugal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-RSA","connectedTitle":"Will South Africa qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: South Africa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-SCO","connectedTitle":"Will Scotland qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Scotland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-SEN","connectedTitle":"Will Senegal qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Senegal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-SUI","connectedTitle":"Will Switzerland qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-SWE","connectedTitle":"Will Sweden qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Sweden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-URU","connectedTitle":"Will Uruguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Uruguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-USA","connectedTitle":"Will USA qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-UZB","connectedTitle":"Will Uzbekistan qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Uzbekistan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCROUND-26SEMI","groupLabel":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:01:02.969Z","priceCents":4,"iy":19630.69200430262,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T03:16:21.682Z","priceCents":3,"iy":26552.22324716329,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T03:30:33.303Z","priceCents":4,"iy":19713.30197808133,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T07:15:33.216Z","priceCents":3,"iy":26651.761854218894,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T07:30:42.824Z","priceCents":4,"iy":19787.66659137113,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T10:45:32.587Z","priceCents":3,"iy":26739.926739926745,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T11:00:54.331Z","priceCents":4,"iy":19853.141147674734,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T11:30:40.888Z","priceCents":3,"iy":26758.721809057384,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T11:45:37.109Z","priceCents":4,"iy":19867.09908602272,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T13:45:34.310Z","priceCents":3,"iy":26815.875179883362,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T14:00:48.560Z","priceCents":4,"iy":19909.543398713606,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T18:45:33.892Z","priceCents":3,"iy":26943.214160692816,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T19:31:26.373Z","priceCents":4,"iy":20013.708019191225,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:15:56.318Z","priceCents":5,"iy":15855.41507579048,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:45:37.419Z","priceCents":3,"iy":26994.982997087398,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:00:35.281Z","priceCents":2,"iy":40919.28251121077,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:15:42.259Z","priceCents":3,"iy":27007.95630516206,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:30:45.015Z","priceCents":5,"iy":15874.287545494079,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:45:34.151Z","priceCents":3,"iy":27020.323434912352,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T22:00:43.172Z","priceCents":4,"iy":20061.374982824167,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T22:15:36.456Z","priceCents":5,"iy":15885.559831409197,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T22:30:37.384Z","priceCents":1,"iy":82792.988887616,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T22:45:35.256Z","priceCents":5,"iy":15893.204995989456,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T23:00:40.560Z","priceCents":4,"iy":20080.22922636103,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T00:00:37.924Z","priceCents":1,"iy":82910.7679599844,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T00:15:45.815Z","priceCents":3,"iy":27085.437130879152,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T00:30:34.599Z","priceCents":5,"iy":15919.838391258434,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T01:46:21.089Z","priceCents":3,"iy":27124.65620139895,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T02:01:01.111Z","priceCents":5,"iy":15942.895238971008,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T02:31:03.353Z","priceCents":3,"iy":27143.99619731052,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T02:46:18.277Z","priceCents":2,"iy":41145.21026962363,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T03:16:09.228Z","priceCents":3,"iy":27163.36379189971,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T04:01:04.499Z","priceCents":4,"iy":20176.89331122167,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T14:30:56.365Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13621.890310234483,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:45:59.580Z","priceCents":9,"iy":8971.813675837016,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T12:46:07.044Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17758.828199021787,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:30:59.005Z","priceCents":4,"iy":22667.874239875793,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:46:30.466Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17950.045295716318,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:00:59.617Z","priceCents":4,"iy":22680.198840099416,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:31:00.051Z","priceCents":3,"iy":30571.889922199483,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:46:23.986Z","priceCents":4,"iy":22698.41681133884,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:16:08.326Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17979.363268692312,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:46:48.876Z","priceCents":4,"iy":22723.145962491242,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:46:27.146Z","priceCents":5,"iy":18008.777168973484,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T02:16:20.838Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14857.058726735779,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T02:46:41.200Z","priceCents":5,"iy":18027.971300821453,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:02:35.477Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14869.421258375154,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:16:02.358Z","priceCents":5,"iy":18037.818295315625,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:31:20.665Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14877.158293658022,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:45:56.264Z","priceCents":5,"iy":18047.676052672665,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 14879%","40 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 6c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCROUND-26SEMI-ECU","marketTitle":"Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":6},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26SEMI-ARG","reason":"Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Argen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26SEMI-AUS","reason":"Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Austr"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCROUND-26SEMI-AUT","reason":"Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?: Austria"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ecuador%20qualify%20for%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%20Semifinals%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":161}