{"ticker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-TALM","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Thiago Almada be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?","description":"If Thiago Almada is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":99,"bestBid":86,"bestAsk":96,"spread":10,"volume":938.19,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":938.19,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-16T04:01:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":22,"iyYes":268.36459351954653,"iyNo":10126.655784033499,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1163,"cvr":null,"overround":4.6,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T00:51:26.548Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0xec2fdf547375eb36f92c9c2a20adadfc9360611faa826229e1d3b319fdb74712","venue":"polymarket","title":"2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Argentina Squad: Thiago Almada","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Alejandro Garnacho be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Alejandro Ga","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AMAC","connectedTitle":"Will Alexis Mac Allister be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Alexis Mac ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-CROM","connectedTitle":"Will Cristian Romero be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Cristian Romero","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EBUE","connectedTitle":"Will Emiliano Buendia be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Emiliano Buend","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EMAR","connectedTitle":"Will Emiliano Martinez be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Emiliano Mart","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-ENFE","connectedTitle":"Will Enzo Fernandez be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Enzo Fernandez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EPAL","connectedTitle":"Will Exequiel Palacios be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Exequiel Pala","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Franco Mastantuono be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Franco Masta","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMED","connectedTitle":"Will Facundo Medina be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Facundo Medina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GLOC","connectedTitle":"Will Giovani Lo Celso be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Giovani Lo Cel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GMON","connectedTitle":"Will Gonzalo Montiel be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Gonzalo Montiel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GPRE","connectedTitle":"Will Gianluca Prestianni be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Gianluca Pr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GSIM","connectedTitle":"Will Giuliano Simeone be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Giuliano Simeo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JALV","connectedTitle":"Will Julian Alvarez be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Julian Alvarez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JLOP","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Manuel Lopez be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Jose Manuel L","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JMUS","connectedTitle":"Will Juan Musso be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Juan Musso","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-KMAC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Mac Allister be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Kevin Mac Al","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-LBAL","connectedTitle":"Will Leonardo Balerdi be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Leonardo Baler","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-LIMA","connectedTitle":"Will Lisandro Martinez be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Lisandro Mart","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-LMAR","connectedTitle":"Will Lautaro Martinez be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Lautaro Martin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-LMES","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Lionel Messi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-LPAR","connectedTitle":"Will Leandro Paredes be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Leandro Paredes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-MACU","connectedTitle":"Will Marcos Acuna be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Marcos Acuna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-MPER","connectedTitle":"Will Maximo Perrone be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Maximo Perrone","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-MSEN","connectedTitle":"Will Marcos Senesi be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Marcos Senesi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-MSOU","connectedTitle":"Will Matias Soule be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Matias Soule","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-NDOM","connectedTitle":"Will Nicolas Dominguez be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Nicolas Domin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-NMOL","connectedTitle":"Will Nahuel Molina be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Nahuel Molina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-NOTA","connectedTitle":"Will Nicolas Otamendi be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Nicolas Otamen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-NPAZ","connectedTitle":"Will Nicolas Paz be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Nicolas Paz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-RDEP","connectedTitle":"Will Rodrigo De Paul be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Rodrigo De Paul","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-SCAS","connectedTitle":"Will Santiago Castro be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Santiago Castro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-VBAR","connectedTitle":"Will Valentin Barco be in the Argentina World Cup final squad?: Valentin Barco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSQUAD-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSQUAD-26ARG"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T15:51:10.491Z","priceCents":60,"iy":1684.2526225120744,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T15:56:03.229Z","priceCents":9,"iy":11354.507447175816,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T16:06:00.662Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2888.1786890218436,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T18:20:49.973Z","priceCents":69,"iy":2507.234993175661,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T16:16:23.533Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2980.6326925955996,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T16:30:39.706Z","priceCents":62,"iy":1891.8209466294154,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T16:35:46.566Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2981.86373291215,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T21:36:03.436Z","priceCents":73,"iy":3156.208948258073,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T02:01:11.512Z","priceCents":74,"iy":3453.2664755714313,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T14:46:28.629Z","priceCents":78,"iy":4379.0298764581385,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T17:30:56.935Z","priceCents":79,"iy":4664.3631975515955,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T04:15:47.575Z","priceCents":76,"iy":4129.450994402763,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T12:46:16.874Z","priceCents":79,"iy":4968.681882016422,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T16:01:07.068Z","priceCents":80,"iy":5309.090909090911,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T00:16:06.598Z","priceCents":86,"iy":8256.52841781874,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 268%","33 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xec2fdf547375eb36f92c9c2a20adadfc9360611faa826229e1d3b319fdb74712","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AGAR","reason":"Will Alejandro Garnacho be in the Argentina World Cup final "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AMAC","reason":"Will Alexis Mac Allister be in the Argentina World Cup final"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-CROM","reason":"Will Cristian Romero be in the Argentina World Cup final squ"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Thiago%20Almada%20be%20in%20the%20Argentina%20World%20Cup%20final%20squad","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":198}