{"ticker":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-FW","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be winning the Final?","description":"If the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation is winning the Final in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":24,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":23,"spread":16,"volume":14293.12,"volume24h":285.13,"openInterest":12391.38,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-26T22:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":31,"iyYes":15762.34589398899,"iyNo":89.29991314665983,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.8571,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.11,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":16,"bidDepthUsd":54,"askDepthUsd":454,"volume24h":285.13},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T03:52:09.391Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-FL","connectedTitle":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be losing the Final?: Los","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGE-26HOST","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-QF","connectedTitle":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be the Quarterfinals?: Qu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGE-26HOST","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-R16","connectedTitle":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be the Round of 16?: Roun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGE-26HOST","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-R32","connectedTitle":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be the Round of 32?: Roun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGE-26HOST","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-SF","connectedTitle":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be the Semifinals?: Semif","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGE-26HOST","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGE-26HOST"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":33.47,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T07:15:59.660Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9772.713750223122,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T07:45:57.716Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8791.063073205187,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:01:40.932Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9782.026085402895,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:16:38.890Z","priceCents":7,"iy":14444.434988340618,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:30:58.234Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8799.183058762346,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:46:15.922Z","priceCents":9,"iy":10999.837726313839,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T09:00:58.979Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9793.983482901525,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T09:32:04.353Z","priceCents":9,"iy":11010.339078002195,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T09:45:57.743Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9803.043867502238,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:15:59.601Z","priceCents":9,"iy":11020.202321823754,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:02:09.217Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9818.57309382192,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:31:16.635Z","priceCents":8,"iy":12553.458743308312,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:45:56.218Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9827.679052234786,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:02:24.844Z","priceCents":12,"iy":8010.37458227343,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:21.408Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8843.185561257129,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T13:16:19.138Z","priceCents":12,"iy":8022.6191903448835,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:16:25.277Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8873.743444055945,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:30:59.510Z","priceCents":13,"iy":7342.026773947421,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:46:17.772Z","priceCents":9,"iy":11096.078038351041,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:00:57.885Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9879.996390868897,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:16:17.903Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8884.689124768553,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:46:39.487Z","priceCents":9,"iy":11110.107639097945,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:02:17.287Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9892.492546752192,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:45:58.445Z","priceCents":12,"iy":8068.081343943413,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:02:02.336Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8904.513246439978,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:16:02.122Z","priceCents":12,"iy":8072.948083805848,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:31:50.603Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9910.997133806004,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T19:00:59.758Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8915.535014436115,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T19:30:58.138Z","priceCents":12,"iy":8085.873385090978,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T19:46:33.530Z","priceCents":13,"iy":7381.29606772522,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:16:44.041Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6254.031607805192,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:31:01.845Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5795.928860927955,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:46:49.786Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6258.005304932781,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:30:59.673Z","priceCents":6,"iy":17339.842723431782,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:16:00.824Z","priceCents":7,"iy":14755.61621922381,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:01:22.311Z","priceCents":6,"iy":17416.95094217024,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T12:46:20.505Z","priceCents":7,"iy":14974.325945793333,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:15:57.383Z","priceCents":6,"iy":17668.808964693282,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:45:57.223Z","priceCents":7,"iy":14993.308333443752,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:01:27.063Z","priceCents":6,"iy":17686.2963421172,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:15:54.740Z","priceCents":7,"iy":15003.049669840088,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T15:45:57.405Z","priceCents":6,"iy":17725.769787146106,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T00:31:06.380Z","priceCents":3,"iy":37001.61989862571,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:15:56.453Z","priceCents":4,"iy":28004.21981394457,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:15:55.324Z","priceCents":5,"iy":22229.70157386928,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:31:30.719Z","priceCents":4,"iy":28089.527352016932,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:45:56.679Z","priceCents":6,"iy":18342.100761269354,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T18:45:58.877Z","priceCents":5,"iy":22273.968202986987,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:31:11.610Z","priceCents":6,"iy":18434.34343434343,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:46:05.572Z","priceCents":7,"iy":15637.812687151605,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 15762%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 1.86)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-FL","reason":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be lo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-QF","reason":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGE-26HOST-R16","reason":"Will the furthest stage advanced to by any host nation be th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20furthest%20stage%20advanced%20to%20by%20any%20host%20nation%20be%20wi","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":165}