{"ticker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-SF","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Semifinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?","description":"If Argentina is eliminated in the Semifinals in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":15,"spread":2,"volume":10.83,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5.83,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-27T02:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":63,"iyYes":3868.692283326429,"iyNo":86.37983827218478,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.19,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2},"computedAt":"2026-05-24T22:59:58.752Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-FL","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Final of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: Ru","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-FW","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina win the Final of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: Outright Winner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-GS","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-QF","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-R16","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Round of 16 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-R32","connectedTitle":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Round of 32 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T15:10:39.386Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22797.669883111754,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T18:55:36.217Z","priceCents":1,"iy":46152.37243757584,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:20:25.393Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3501.473845778174,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T15:01:15.932Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3237.1977519545007,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T16:50:58.288Z","priceCents":14,"iy":2974.4137874833937,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T20:45:43.559Z","priceCents":2,"iy":24097.927726427548,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T20:51:09.526Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3606.6869683168497,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T22:15:50.511Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3339.0184095526097,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T18:15:46.285Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3752.9327089350645,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T23:01:03.720Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3533.7832123319076,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T12:15:59.348Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4082.026881392464,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T17:30:23.820Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3795.7117004262477,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 3869%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 13c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-SF","marketTitle":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Semifinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":13},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-FL","reason":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Final of the 2026 Men's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-FW","reason":"Will Argentina win the Final of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cu"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ARG-GS","reason":"Will Argentina get eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Argentina%20get%20eliminated%20in%20the%20Semifinals%20of%20the%202026%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":176}