{"ticker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-FW","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Spain win the Final of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?","description":"If Spain wins the Final in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":18,"bestBid":15,"bestAsk":17,"spread":2,"volume":611.46,"volume24h":500.28,"openInterest":611.46,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-27T02:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":63,"iyYes":3275.7892513990078,"iyNo":102.01419814045354,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2},"computedAt":"2026-05-24T22:27:30.413Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-GS","connectedTitle":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-R32","connectedTitle":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Round of 32 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-R16","connectedTitle":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Round of 16 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-QF","connectedTitle":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-SF","connectedTitle":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Semifinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: S","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-FL","connectedTitle":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Final of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?: Runner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP","groupLabel":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T15:10:39.386Z","priceCents":2,"iy":22797.669883111754,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T18:55:36.217Z","priceCents":1,"iy":46152.37243757584,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:46:02.562Z","priceCents":11,"iy":3864.1062180171907,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T19:55:41.585Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3289.6883731193457,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T19:00:43.833Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3059.2335445591643,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T11:00:47.794Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3200.565321449204,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T15:30:28.051Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3479.5891446573505,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:00:32.282Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3227.585058959995,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 3276%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 16c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-FW","marketTitle":"Will Spain win the Final of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":16},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-GS","reason":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-R32","reason":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Round of 32 in the 2026 Men"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWCSTAGEOFELIM-26ESP-R16","reason":"Will Spain get eliminated in the Round of 16 in the 2026 Men"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Spain%20win%20the%20Final%20of%20the%202026%20Men's%20FIFA%20World%20Cup%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":221}