{"ticker":"KXWHVISIT-27-PLEO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Pope Leo XIV visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":9,"spread":4,"volume":4277.29,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1909.63,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":243,"iyYes":2853.8507438118554,"iyNo":7.905403722470515,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.8,"cvr":null,"overround":8.4,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T15:02:44.258Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-EADA","connectedTitle":"Will Eric Adams visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Eric Adams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-JBID","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Biden visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Joe Biden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-MCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Mark Carney","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-MTG","connectedTitle":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Marjorie ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF","connectedTitle":"Will Hakeem Jeffries visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Hakeem Jeffries","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Maher visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Bill Maher","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS","connectedTitle":"Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-OBAM","connectedTitle":"Will Barack Obama visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Barack Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-VPUT","connectedTitle":"Will Vladimir Putin visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Vladimir Putin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-CRON","connectedTitle":"Will Cristiano Ronaldo visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Cristiano Rona","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN","connectedTitle":"Will Xi Jinping visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Xi Jinping","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-MZUC","connectedTitle":"Will Mark Zuckerberg visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Mark Zuckerberg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Gavin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-JPOW","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Jerome Powell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-VZEL","connectedTitle":"Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Volodymyr Ze","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE","connectedTitle":"Will Claudia Sheinbaum visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Claudia Sheinb","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-SAMA","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Altman visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Sam Altman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM","connectedTitle":"Will Abiy Ahmed visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Abiy Ahmed","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-AALS","connectedTitle":"Will Abdel Fattah al-Sisi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Abdel Fatta","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN","connectedTitle":"Will Bola Ahmed Tinubu visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Bola Ahmed Tin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN","connectedTitle":"Will Hun Manet visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Hun Manet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA","connectedTitle":"Will Anutin Charnvirakul visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Anutin Charn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH","connectedTitle":"Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Reza Pahlavi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27JAN-JAOU","connectedTitle":"Will Joseph Aoun visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Joseph Aoun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWHVISIT-27-JTER","connectedTitle":"Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: John Ternus","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWHVISIT-27","groupLabel":"KXWHVISIT-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:08:15.030Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1105.0507469510328,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:22:48.505Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1229.2597498821258,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T18:37:46.005Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1383.0126984008023,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:00:35.827Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1259.6293583750971,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:05:48.417Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1417.6505712216294,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:06:00.960Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1262.2672394580513,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:20:27.597Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1425.9214182712844,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:20:32.977Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1155.1569391914861,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:35:38.588Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1443.6421071481038,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:10:31.113Z","priceCents":13,"iy":955.6026209782987,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:15:45.642Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1047.1518252782191,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:36:01.581Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1155.391947645469,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:00:51.826Z","priceCents":13,"iy":955.8905646030606,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:20:31.766Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1047.676454548064,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:30:43.808Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1156.1292288046832,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:55:37.725Z","priceCents":13,"iy":956.9690885875222,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:05:45.852Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1156.9943576713517,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:05:30.870Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1296.7275885209017,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:10:31.944Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1166.1454880023607,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T19:15:18.984Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2753.918426831544,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T19:20:12.813Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2270.810913129404,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T21:35:14.497Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2754.9796206986953,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:40:18.314Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7218.5628259149835,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:45:17.349Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4763.346249058229,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:15:30.686Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3537.1644539199538,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T05:35:11.596Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4789.792958645844,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T07:05:52.458Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7260.614868732468,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T09:45:35.364Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4793.177861353219,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:50:16.631Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3565.7154021809474,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T23:50:19.021Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2823.3292079207918,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2854%","25 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.80)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWHVISIT-27-EADA","reason":"Will Eric Adams visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: E"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWHVISIT-27-JBID","reason":"Will Joe Biden visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: Jo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWHVISIT-27-MCAR","reason":"Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Pope%20Leo%20XIV%20visit%20the%20White%20House%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3510}