{"ticker":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-MALF","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Michael Alfonso be the Republican nominee for WI-07?","description":"If Michael Alfonso wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 WI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":80,"bestBid":79,"bestAsk":84,"spread":5,"volume":785.02,"volume24h":4.73,"openInterest":741.21,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":496,"iyYes":19.580702189781576,"iyNo":277.1046765678614,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0633,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":580,"askDepthUsd":494,"volume24h":4.73},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T02:49:50.163Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-CRUN","connectedTitle":"Will Cheryl Ann Runkel be the Republican nominee for WI-07?: Cheryl Ann Runkel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWIPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-JEBB","connectedTitle":"Will Jessi Ebben be the Republican nominee for WI-07?: Jessi Ebben","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWIPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-KHER","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Hermening be the Republican nominee for WI-07?: Kevin Hermening","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWIPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-NTHR","connectedTitle":"Will Niina Threlfall-Baum be the Republican nominee for WI-07?: Niina Threlfall-","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWIPRIMARY-07R26","groupLabel":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:00:35.944Z","priceCents":21,"iy":261.6251718347052,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:00:52.940Z","priceCents":20,"iy":278.20599057529563,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":21,"iy":261.6565806153626,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T22:30:31.325Z","priceCents":20,"iy":278.26113473366024,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:45:34.342Z","priceCents":21,"iy":261.72391054642526,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:02:20.452Z","priceCents":20,"iy":278.29508046730695,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:45:23.910Z","priceCents":21,"iy":261.7653231891668,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:30:27.514Z","priceCents":20,"iy":278.3714886582685,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:15:40.649Z","priceCents":21,"iy":261.8382013354612,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:15:39.151Z","priceCents":20,"iy":278.4548426348694,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:30:40.289Z","priceCents":21,"iy":261.9475946742743,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:28.713Z","priceCents":20,"iy":278.5653502863881,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:34.750Z","priceCents":91,"iy":704.164737448208,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:15:25.539Z","priceCents":86,"iy":432.9597842566498,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:30:51.865Z","priceCents":63,"iy":120.01191194554575,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:45:25.682Z","priceCents":75,"iy":211.45405074511007,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:00:44.199Z","priceCents":77,"iy":236.96666480612075,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T16:01:16.606Z","priceCents":79,"iy":266.6426979524967,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T17:30:23.893Z","priceCents":73,"iy":191.6604230469555,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T18:15:37.026Z","priceCents":74,"iy":202.1636374305563,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T00:30:46.028Z","priceCents":73,"iy":192.51739195399404,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T12:15:26.675Z","priceCents":76,"iy":228.37410807314825,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T16:01:26.970Z","priceCents":73,"iy":195.04658535248086,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:15:44.889Z","priceCents":75,"iy":216.87205143135557,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:01:43.257Z","priceCents":73,"iy":196.063801199179,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:30:56.982Z","priceCents":74,"iy":206.4360666507999,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T10:00:45.504Z","priceCents":73,"iy":196.11211504027196,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:16:04.686Z","priceCents":74,"iy":206.80881065256025,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:30:34.391Z","priceCents":73,"iy":196.4619304041814,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T05:15:37.418Z","priceCents":75,"iy":218.38589885242698,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:15:56.318Z","priceCents":78,"iy":258.4145383093427,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:30:45.015Z","priceCents":73,"iy":197.0830233223663,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:45:34.151Z","priceCents":74,"iy":207.47130197958805,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T04:01:04.499Z","priceCents":73,"iy":197.18974456434935,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T10:46:13.975Z","priceCents":74,"iy":207.69612173438023,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T15:01:11.546Z","priceCents":73,"iy":197.37076511190054,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T16:46:25.130Z","priceCents":74,"iy":207.7999851670355,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T17:00:55.658Z","priceCents":73,"iy":197.40353416410989,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T01:31:08.306Z","priceCents":74,"iy":207.9513961922952,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:16:03.252Z","priceCents":73,"iy":197.65459768183683,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T17:17:35.793Z","priceCents":74,"iy":208.22566141906137,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T19:00:55.990Z","priceCents":79,"iy":275.2615079786699,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:02:09.217Z","priceCents":81,"iy":312.35687605089635,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:20.562Z","priceCents":79,"iy":275.6649203267674,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:30:59.510Z","priceCents":81,"iy":312.47417186681895,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:00:59.294Z","priceCents":79,"iy":275.8376985713358,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:00:58.125Z","priceCents":81,"iy":312.696459893202,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:01:20.973Z","priceCents":79,"iy":275.9995976062743,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T07:30:58.363Z","priceCents":80,"iy":293.57827681616374,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T13:00:57.243Z","priceCents":79,"iy":276.7874001115213,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 72c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-MALF","marketTitle":"Will Michael Alfonso be the Republican nominee for WI-07?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":72},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-CRUN","reason":"Will Cheryl Ann Runkel be the Republican nominee for WI-07?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-JEBB","reason":"Will Jessi Ebben be the Republican nominee for WI-07?: Jessi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWIPRIMARY-07R26-KHER","reason":"Will Kevin Hermening be the Republican nominee for WI-07?: K"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Michael%20Alfonso%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20WI-07%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":160}