{"ticker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?","description":"If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":38,"bestBid":36,"bestAsk":38,"spread":2,"volume":3489.19,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1828.72,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":987,"iyYes":65.72870454688444,"iyNo":20.796972923037654,"cri":1.778,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0556,"cvr":null,"overround":0.46,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":895,"askDepthUsd":488,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T09:51:43.008Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-G7","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from G7 before Jan 20, 2029?: G7","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-G20","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from G20 before Jan 20, 2029?: G20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-UN","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029?: United Nations","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-IMF","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from International Monetary Fund before Jan 20, 2029?: In","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-WBANK","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029?: World Bank Gr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-OECD","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from OECD before Jan 20, 2029?: OECD","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-INTERPOL","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from Interpol before Jan 20, 2029?: Interpol","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-IAEA","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from International Atomic Energy Agency before Jan 20, 20","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWITHDRAW-29-IDB","connectedTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWITHDRAW-29","groupLabel":"KXWITHDRAW-29"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:20:32.403Z","priceCents":34,"iy":70.05702333436881,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:25:32.944Z","priceCents":33,"iy":73.27388904814084,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T18:30:15.832Z","priceCents":35,"iy":67.66027214116457,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T18:45:13.944Z","priceCents":36,"iy":64.76945401568398,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T04:30:14.076Z","priceCents":37,"iy":62.05946919142057,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T22:05:26.035Z","priceCents":38,"iy":59.570204789360226,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T04:30:35.166Z","priceCents":36,"iy":64.99046899192327,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T04:45:37.647Z","priceCents":37,"iy":62.24656249144769,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:35:30.364Z","priceCents":40,"iy":54.87940563849556,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T00:05:35.703Z","priceCents":37,"iy":62.29685286160641,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:45:30.361Z","priceCents":39,"iy":57.229842243555815,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:50:28.822Z","priceCents":37,"iy":62.30141171016196,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:30:49.748Z","priceCents":40,"iy":54.90901651181821,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:55:51.052Z","priceCents":37,"iy":62.33027908189328,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T22:55:48.636Z","priceCents":36,"iy":65.56618760686783,"cri":1.778}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 34c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO","marketTitle":"Will the U.S. withdraw from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":34},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWITHDRAW-29-G7","reason":"Will the U.S. withdraw from G7 before Jan 20, 2029?: G7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWITHDRAW-29-G20","reason":"Will the U.S. withdraw from G20 before Jan 20, 2029?: G20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWITHDRAW-29-UN","reason":"Will the U.S. withdraw from United Nations before Jan 20, 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20U.S.%20withdraw%20from%20World%20Trade%20Organization%20before%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":101}