{"ticker":"KXWOTW-26-BALA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Balaram Stack win the Wave of the Winter?","description":"If Balaram Stack wins the Wave of the Winter, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":19,"spread":19,"volume":137.68,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":137.68,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-15T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":37,"iyYes":6000.007645756796,"iyNo":159.00507011470145,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.3571,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":19,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":341,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:09:20.567Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-MAKA","connectedTitle":"Will Makana Pang win the Wave of the Winter?: Makana Pang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-SHAN","connectedTitle":"Will Shane Dorian win the Wave of the Winter?: Shane Dorian","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-KELL","connectedTitle":"Will Kelly Slater win the Wave of the Winter?: Kelly Slater","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-NATH","connectedTitle":"Will Nathan Florence win the Wave of the Winter?: Nathan Florence","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-JOHN","connectedTitle":"Will John John Florence win the Wave of the Winter?: John John Florence","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-JAMI","connectedTitle":"Will Jamie O'Brien win the Wave of the Winter?: Jamie O'Brien","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-TOSH","connectedTitle":"Will Tosh Tudor win the Wave of the Winter?: Tosh Tudor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-BARR","connectedTitle":"Will Barron Mamiya win the Wave of the Winter?: Barron Mamiya","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:36:18.600Z","priceCents":2,"iy":27177.546802820325,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:45:53.596Z","priceCents":3,"iy":17935.39105282088,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:00:54.010Z","priceCents":4,"iy":13314.891094526607,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:30:39.712Z","priceCents":5,"iy":10597.97973623485,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:45:44.586Z","priceCents":6,"iy":8740.020684630706,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:45:47.451Z","priceCents":1,"iy":55264.96902959394,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:05:48.417Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6121.542521821186,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:11:12.113Z","priceCents":1,"iy":60023.919868440724,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:45:19.657Z","priceCents":9,"iy":6859.5136901147835,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T23:40:36.566Z","priceCents":14,"iy":5142.883356980657,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 6000%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 1.36)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWOTW-26-MAKA","reason":"Will Makana Pang win the Wave of the Winter?: Makana Pang"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWOTW-26-SHAN","reason":"Will Shane Dorian win the Wave of the Winter?: Shane Dorian"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWOTW-26-KELL","reason":"Will Kelly Slater win the Wave of the Winter?: Kelly Slater"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Balaram%20Stack%20win%20the%20Wave%20of%20the%20Winter%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":106}