{"ticker":"KXWOTW-26-BARR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Barron Mamiya win the Wave of the Winter?","description":"If Barron Mamiya wins the Wave of the Winter, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":27,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":25,"spread":15,"volume":961.79,"volume24h":3.52,"openInterest":879.37,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-15T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":37,"iyYes":8790.708876341352,"iyNo":108.52727007828831,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.5,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":15,"bidDepthUsd":1226,"askDepthUsd":1359,"volume24h":3.52,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:09:32.135Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-MAKA","connectedTitle":"Will Makana Pang win the Wave of the Winter?: Makana Pang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-SHAN","connectedTitle":"Will Shane Dorian win the Wave of the Winter?: Shane Dorian","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-KELL","connectedTitle":"Will Kelly Slater win the Wave of the Winter?: Kelly Slater","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-NATH","connectedTitle":"Will Nathan Florence win the Wave of the Winter?: Nathan Florence","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-JOHN","connectedTitle":"Will John John Florence win the Wave of the Winter?: John John Florence","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-JAMI","connectedTitle":"Will Jamie O'Brien win the Wave of the Winter?: Jamie O'Brien","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-TOSH","connectedTitle":"Will Tosh Tudor win the Wave of the Winter?: Tosh Tudor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWOTW-26-BALA","connectedTitle":"Will Balaram Stack win the Wave of the Winter?: Balaram Stack","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWOTW-26","groupLabel":"KXWOTW-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:36:18.600Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2911.8800145878918,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:45:53.596Z","priceCents":17,"iy":2708.2549255017575,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:00:54.010Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2527.3635873869953,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:30:39.712Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2377.940051620563,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:45:47.451Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3163.3147255996532,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:05:48.417Z","priceCents":2,"iy":29665.936836518045,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T08:20:45.681Z","priceCents":1,"iy":59989.0430971512,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:11:12.113Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3435.7125850622638,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T23:05:19.714Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3147.346079245177,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:50:29.488Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3393.6952094217654,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T07:20:35.486Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2954.6311597593653,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:45:19.657Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3312.253863293951,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:55:56.724Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3584.388619741494,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:35:32.358Z","priceCents":11,"iy":5574.670728044961,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T06:45:55.986Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4547.864865099809,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:45:38.926Z","priceCents":17,"iy":4084.012429309984,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T23:40:36.566Z","priceCents":15,"iy":4744.210228532544,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T21:10:57.359Z","priceCents":10,"iy":7693.028266316948,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:10:56.234Z","priceCents":11,"iy":7493.673572488056,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:15:57.188Z","priceCents":10,"iy":8336.293965385983,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:21:02.197Z","priceCents":11,"iy":7495.004868234653,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T07:06:14.392Z","priceCents":10,"iy":8361.544531269885,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T10:21:11.746Z","priceCents":11,"iy":7542.863246275587,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:30:26.380Z","priceCents":10,"iy":8436.70544726096,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:35:24.357Z","priceCents":11,"iy":7585.097390922636,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:45:46.671Z","priceCents":12,"iy":6883.545497406883,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:50:26.691Z","priceCents":11,"iy":7595.241546684375,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:05:23.510Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6290.734760989718,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:10:22.146Z","priceCents":11,"iy":7606.196410090709,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T21:45:40.498Z","priceCents":17,"iy":4607.541493728602,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T22:00:24.259Z","priceCents":16,"iy":4955.904412145037,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T23:20:25.140Z","priceCents":17,"iy":4615.417429047194,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:35:55.278Z","priceCents":16,"iy":4969.785777270606,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:41:29.865Z","priceCents":17,"iy":4622.121186692807,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:31:38.867Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5012.687035680653,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:36:35.589Z","priceCents":17,"iy":4662.024391182242,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:11:06.210Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5027.28441377863,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:15:39.170Z","priceCents":17,"iy":4675.601677938322,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:51:05.909Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5047.41209008297,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:50:48.404Z","priceCents":10,"iy":8662.289375840519,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 8791%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 1.50)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWOTW-26-MAKA","reason":"Will Makana Pang win the Wave of the Winter?: Makana Pang"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWOTW-26-SHAN","reason":"Will Shane Dorian win the Wave of the Winter?: Shane Dorian"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWOTW-26-KELL","reason":"Will Kelly Slater win the Wave of the Winter?: Kelly Slater"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Barron%20Mamiya%20win%20the%20Wave%20of%20the%20Winter%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":112}