{"ticker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T61","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $61 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $61 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":7,"spread":2,"volume":5465.97,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2481.2,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T19:30:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":101,"iyYes":11656.657843098521,"iyNo":11.149954361556668,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.66,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1781,"askDepthUsd":231,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-09-21T13:54:36.419Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T65","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $65 by Dec 31, 2026?: 64.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T64","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $64 by Dec 31, 2026?: 63.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T63","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $63 by Dec 31, 2026?: 62.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T62","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $62 by Dec 31, 2026?: 61.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T60","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $60 by Dec 31, 2026?: 59.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T59","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $59 by Dec 31, 2026?: 58.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T58","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $58 by Dec 31, 2026?: 57.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T57","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $57 by Dec 31, 2026?: 56.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T56","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $56 by Dec 31, 2026?: 55.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T55","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $55 by Dec 31, 2026?: 54.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T50","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $50 by Dec 31, 2026?: 49.99 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWTIMIN-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T07:01:22.671Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1845.0813505125552,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T07:16:02.150Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2202.836529229419,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T07:46:12.067Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1845.552154633635,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T08:02:21.308Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2203.4168052377117,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T08:15:56.828Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1845.8712229911227,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T12:46:01.042Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3042.979160425422,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T13:02:09.658Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2708.8538703213517,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T14:02:06.960Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3044.3095287850633,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T14:17:21.297Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3462.798122375574,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T15:01:06.605Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3045.3394799405514,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T19:16:01.965Z","priceCents":5,"iy":5730.931327989421,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T20:02:08.904Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4008.4029445731567,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T21:16:55.727Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3471.13110497329,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T14:31:16.553Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4757.071828872971,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T14:46:04.873Z","priceCents":5,"iy":5769.6947511169155,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T15:46:12.243Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4759.130567461473,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T16:16:21.279Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4036.563932180493,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T17:46:05.602Z","priceCents":5,"iy":5775.701245919114,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T18:31:18.536Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4039.6912007445067,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T07:17:05.365Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4784.855812811866,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T09:16:10.244Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4060.4941254716005,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T12:16:09.306Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4793.1981570425505,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T13:15:59.383Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4066.145995543948,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T15:16:04.331Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3551.9056322772813,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T02:16:08.241Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4119.408853604133,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T02:31:08.228Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3566.027797600843,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T02:46:02.268Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4120.143856075952,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T21:46:11.726Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3590.522218895684,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T22:46:12.711Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4149.512009075262,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T23:01:02.533Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3592.1200140347273,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-06T04:16:36.285Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4902.8013558081975,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-07T22:46:01.030Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3212.9784402036803,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-08T04:46:01.877Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4989.210160480686,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T04:46:06.834Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3694.5270829299207,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T05:16:19.163Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3248.928680073205,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T16:16:16.886Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2903.610730543156,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T18:46:11.038Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5059.12884484945,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T19:01:05.312Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3265.4004207711523,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T19:16:13.122Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2906.822405096894,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T20:46:14.279Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3716.3448343028144,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T22:01:09.582Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5065.1785582473385,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T00:46:04.204Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3721.8148446990185,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T01:01:04.669Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4300.15581651655,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T01:31:14.756Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3273.249035960901,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T03:01:02.731Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3724.919467196749,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T20:16:14.234Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10540.213870629705,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-11T14:01:07.237Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6234.940842233969,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-12T20:31:16.549Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10732.885889763971,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:28.631Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6574.145171534471,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T13:31:20.055Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11320.652156535476,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 11657%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 4c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T61","marketTitle":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $61 by Dec 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":4},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T65","reason":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $65 by D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T64","reason":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $64 by D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T63","reason":"Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $63 by D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20WTI%20front%20month%20settle%20price%20reach%20%2461%20by%20D","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":475}