{"ticker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-CGRA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Chuck Gray be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?","description":"If Chuck Gray wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 WY-AL House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":55,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":54,"spread":5,"volume":1186.65,"volume24h":26.47,"openInterest":1137.32,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":420,"iyYes":90.35014357251796,"iyNo":83.40280458193602,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.25,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":2154,"askDepthUsd":2910,"volume24h":26.47},"computedAt":"2026-06-24T02:58:22.411Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-JBAL","connectedTitle":"Will Jillian Balow be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Jillian Balow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-BBIT","connectedTitle":"Will Bo Biteman be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Bo Biteman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-FCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Frank Chapman be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Frank Chapman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-KCHR","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Christensen be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Kevin Christensen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-SFRI","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Friess be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Steve Friess","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-DGIR","connectedTitle":"Will David Giralt be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: David Giralt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-RRAS","connectedTitle":"Will Reid Rasner be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Reid Rasner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-JROM","connectedTitle":"Will John Romero-Martinez be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: John Romero-Mart","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26","groupLabel":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T10:30:35.658Z","priceCents":11,"iy":654.597040459679,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T10:45:28.491Z","priceCents":10,"iy":728.1634100657232,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T11:45:28.076Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2616.2380410839155,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T12:00:31.441Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3964.90224637151,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:00:48.138Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2622.353667036263,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:30:43.005Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3974.2678103195417,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:30:45.287Z","priceCents":33,"iy":164.9018360374739,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T19:46:09.011Z","priceCents":30,"iy":189.78221469530857,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:15:27.070Z","priceCents":29,"iy":199.6034580577024,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:45:34.342Z","priceCents":30,"iy":190.27702995057265,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:45:22.894Z","priceCents":36,"iy":145.1484142535743,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:15:23.946Z","priceCents":37,"iy":139.02536658229218,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:31:47.431Z","priceCents":38,"iy":133.2214030221184,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T19:45:31.488Z","priceCents":37,"iy":140.05013666993116,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T08:45:27.435Z","priceCents":38,"iy":134.36419905993745,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T13:31:06.684Z","priceCents":37,"iy":140.60144031638532,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T01:15:55.502Z","priceCents":40,"iy":124.56459271359697,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T01:45:37.610Z","priceCents":37,"iy":141.40440183078576,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T11:15:57.521Z","priceCents":56,"iy":107.25708578929674,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T20:46:16.700Z","priceCents":57,"iy":111.8135158006659,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T06:15:41.862Z","priceCents":53,"iy":95.42655943375277,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T19:15:39.071Z","priceCents":52,"iy":92.00422230546877,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T15:15:25.250Z","priceCents":54,"iy":99.89049042531153,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T18:45:56.925Z","priceCents":55,"iy":104.03686351270431,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:00:33.292Z","priceCents":50,"iy":85.3052877592755,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:15:44.889Z","priceCents":51,"iy":88.78941887695004,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:15:41.243Z","priceCents":48,"iy":92.77790943311818,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T16:00:34.328Z","priceCents":50,"iy":85.69764930174026,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T00:00:45.982Z","priceCents":51,"iy":89.26530410840505,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T16:01:34.333Z","priceCents":50,"iy":85.8993306912425,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T01:46:01.584Z","priceCents":48,"iy":93.14660824637035,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T05:15:37.418Z","priceCents":49,"iy":89.52172172561139,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T12:45:33.132Z","priceCents":50,"iy":86.0743493722468,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T13:00:43.930Z","priceCents":49,"iy":89.58991210370542,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T14:00:48.560Z","priceCents":50,"iy":86.08510869129408,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T14:15:34.648Z","priceCents":49,"iy":89.60089983081484,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:00:55.767Z","priceCents":50,"iy":86.26312853915164,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:16:06.673Z","priceCents":49,"iy":89.78619454418278,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T14:46:07.641Z","priceCents":50,"iy":86.70492769046578,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:30:59.510Z","priceCents":49,"iy":90.25055036351603,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 50c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-CGRA","marketTitle":"Will Chuck Gray be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":50},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-JBAL","reason":"Will Jillian Balow be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Jil"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-BBIT","reason":"Will Bo Biteman be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Bo Bit"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWYPRIMARY-ALR26-FCHA","reason":"Will Frank Chapman be the Republican nominee for WY-AL?: Fra"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Chuck%20Gray%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20WY-AL%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":133}