{"ticker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-ZGUO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Zhang Guoqing become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?","description":"If Zhang Guoqing is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"volume":435,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":192,"status":"active","closeTime":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":6822,"iyYes":128.4144914874092,"iyNo":0.22294182549897437,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.11,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":5,"askDepthUsd":3769,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-29T13:22:33.610Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-DXUE","connectedTitle":"Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-CJIN","connectedTitle":"Will Chen Jining become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) bef","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LQIA","connectedTitle":"Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LXI","connectedTitle":"Will Li Xi become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Ja","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LGAN","connectedTitle":"Will Li Ganjie become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) befor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-ZLEJ","connectedTitle":"Will Zhao Leji become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) befor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-WHUN","connectedTitle":"Will Wang Huning become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) bef","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-CMIN","connectedTitle":"Will Chen Min'er become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) bef","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T10:07:24.331Z","priceCents":2,"iy":261.4083515620044,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T12:07:35.001Z","priceCents":1,"iy":528.1580518999513,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:56:06.139Z","priceCents":3,"iy":172.7314910559922,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:50:54.762Z","priceCents":1,"iy":528.8850879872465,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T15:20:25.371Z","priceCents":5,"iy":101.61815370584628,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T15:25:26.071Z","priceCents":4,"iy":128.35982952759628,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 128%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 0.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-DXUE","reason":"Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Com"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-CJIN","reason":"Will Chen Jining become the next leader of the Chinese Commu"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LQIA","reason":"Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communis"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Zhang%20Guoqing%20become%20the%20next%20leader%20of%20the%20Chinese%20Com","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1541}