{"ticker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP900T10000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 9.0% to 100.0%?","description":"If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":10,"spread":1,"volume":1979.91,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1224.91,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":1074,"iyYes":343.6889083006123,"iyNo":3.361768092301605,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1111,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.2,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":6962,"askDepthUsd":5725,"volume24h":0,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:07:34.469Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM100T199","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 1.0% to 1.99%?: Democratic by 1.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T99","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 0.01% to 0.99%?: Democratic by 0.01","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM200T299","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 2.0% to 2.99%?: Democratic by 2.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM300T399","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 3.0% to 3.99%?: Democratic by 3.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM400T499","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 4.0% to 4.99%?: Democratic by 4.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM500T599","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 5.0% to 5.99%?: Democratic by 5.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM600T699","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 6.0% to 6.99%?: Democratic by 6.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM700T799","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 7.0% to 7.99%?: Democratic by 7.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM800T899","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 8.0% to 8.99%?: Democratic by 8.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM900T10000","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 9.0% to 100.0%?: Democratic by 9.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP100T199","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 1.0% to 1.99%?: Republican by 1.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP1T99","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 0.01% to 0.99%?: Republican by 0.01","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP200T299","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 2.0% to 2.99%?: Republican by 2.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP300T399","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 3.0% to 3.99%?: Republican by 3.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP400T499","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 4.0% to 4.99%?: Republican by 4.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP500T599","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 5.0% to 5.99%?: Republican by 5.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP600T699","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 6.0% to 6.99%?: Republican by 6.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP700T799","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 7.0% to 7.99%?: Republican by 7.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"},{"connectedTicker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP800T899","connectedTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 8.0% to 8.99%?: Republican by 8.0% ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07","groupLabel":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:01:57.415Z","priceCents":8,"iy":387.99924572392007,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:16:18.724Z","priceCents":9,"iy":341.1425868170139,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:30:51.253Z","priceCents":10,"iy":303.657197368859,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:30:52.358Z","priceCents":9,"iy":341.2113449613311,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 344%","19 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 8c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP900T10000","marketTitle":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 9.0% to 100.0%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":8},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM100T199","reason":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 1.0% to 1.99%?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T99","reason":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 0.01% to 0.99%?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM200T299","reason":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 2.0% to 2.99%?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Republican%20win%20the%202028%20popular%20vote%20by%209.0%25%20to%20100.0%25%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":138}