{"ticker":"SENATEAK-26-R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?","description":"If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":43,"bestBid":39,"bestAsk":42,"spread":3,"volume":146853.04,"volume24h":2652.2,"openInterest":93547.77,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":497,"iyYes":114.8412021864857,"iyNo":46.942614492245305,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-24T13:07:15.827Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"SENATEAK-26-D","connectedTitle":"Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska?: Democratic party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:SENATEAK-26","groupLabel":"SENATEAK-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:15:25.332Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.4370983463649,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T01:15:43.266Z","priceCents":42,"iy":96.27092721681433,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T01:30:24.806Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.5721423632731,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:00:30.784Z","priceCents":42,"iy":96.28416791740575,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:15:32.704Z","priceCents":39,"iy":109.05624299602015,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:30:25.527Z","priceCents":41,"iy":100.33714866098249,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:01:46.121Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.59311844143835,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:15:24.627Z","priceCents":41,"iy":100.34309089709477,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:45:26.446Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.59911315235932,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T10:15:57.591Z","priceCents":42,"iy":96.33992913713556,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T11:15:53.192Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.65329653105384,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T16:45:36.622Z","priceCents":41,"iy":100.4430642210145,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T17:00:24.578Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.70132870288916,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T17:16:14.841Z","priceCents":41,"iy":100.44729012708325,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T17:30:25.886Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.70533337413175,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:15:26.084Z","priceCents":39,"iy":109.18660223259506,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:31:09.866Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.71394445475113,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:45:23.713Z","priceCents":41,"iy":100.45920141209209,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:00:55.492Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.71795009113809,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:15:25.893Z","priceCents":42,"iy":96.40884564137751,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:30:46.091Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.72215633918118,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T23:15:24.408Z","priceCents":39,"iy":109.2300549304774,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T05:01:04.011Z","priceCents":41,"iy":100.54131237156298,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T23:45:24.855Z","priceCents":42,"iy":96.62841240476946,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T02:15:28.780Z","priceCents":41,"iy":100.71192363234871,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T19:45:31.488Z","priceCents":42,"iy":96.78296532033653,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T01:45:28.289Z","priceCents":37,"iy":119.61968897944506,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T02:01:09.976Z","priceCents":38,"iy":114.62547051906849,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:15:30.514Z","priceCents":39,"iy":110.03703303389325,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:00:49.715Z","priceCents":38,"iy":114.79118099378624,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T23:15:30.017Z","priceCents":39,"iy":110.28509973755465,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T04:00:59.482Z","priceCents":40,"iy":105.80568857762367,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T15:45:42.646Z","priceCents":39,"iy":110.43187119849505,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T19:30:55.920Z","priceCents":40,"iy":105.93794261743146,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:00:51.626Z","priceCents":39,"iy":110.54092218485063,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T15:30:39.207Z","priceCents":40,"iy":106.10896955108635,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T21:46:42.456Z","priceCents":38,"iy":116.15085013388912,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T00:15:28.789Z","priceCents":39,"iy":111.36984863804653,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T02:30:50.363Z","priceCents":40,"iy":106.82509950831187,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T16:00:36.619Z","priceCents":39,"iy":111.51255296282818,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T04:00:52.495Z","priceCents":40,"iy":107.6785103194364,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T11:45:38.336Z","priceCents":39,"iy":112.35152782182607,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T17:01:40.798Z","priceCents":40,"iy":108.00606017565038,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T17:15:33.491Z","priceCents":39,"iy":112.62392552020215,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T19:00:32.509Z","priceCents":40,"iy":108.02374746711439,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T15:31:37.741Z","priceCents":39,"iy":112.83048589018412,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T20:15:33.126Z","priceCents":40,"iy":108.4628779609375,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:45:56.035Z","priceCents":39,"iy":114.27250499855599,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:46:38.749Z","priceCents":40,"iy":109.95609789406456,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:16:14.556Z","priceCents":39,"iy":114.70783145115118,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 115%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 39c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"SENATEAK-26-R","marketTitle":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":39},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/SENATEAK-26-D","reason":"Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska?: Democratic "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Republicans%20win%20the%20Senate%20race%20in%20Alaska%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":158}