{"ticker":"SENATEMT-26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democratics win the Senate race in Montana?","description":"If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":1,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":6,"spread":5,"volume":39243.79,"volume24h":32,"openInterest":27240.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"MAGA splits over Iran war. Anti-interventionist wing vs hawks. Joe Kent resignat","thesisSlug":"maga-splits-iran-midterms","thesisPrice":18,"edge":11,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-11T06:04:08.622Z","firstDetectedPrice":8}],"indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"sfEdgeCents":11,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:13:11.420Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"SENATEMT-26-IND","connectedTitle":"Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?: Seth Bodnar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:SENATEMT-26","groupLabel":"SENATEMT-26"},{"connectedTicker":"SENATEMT-26-R","connectedTitle":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?: Republican party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:SENATEMT-26","groupLabel":"SENATEMT-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":2,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:10:22.759Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2165.6381338260994,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:30:23.171Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1607.8940992489152,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:45:21.573Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2166.3974349560667,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:36:38.353Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1608.6440746440232,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:51:15.550Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2167.240843170238,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:30:41.812Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3289.576539442731,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:35:31.747Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2170.6849321787413,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:15:17.083Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3291.7803958234786,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:20:18.191Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2172.1431915075063,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T09:55:24.777Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3292.4530385926673,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T10:00:17.727Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2172.587050755267,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T17:00:34.697Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3294.2480973115544,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T17:05:37.802Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2173.767558829254,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T19:10:43.222Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3294.7942803034484,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T19:15:37.020Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2174.1319745085257,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T01:30:47.723Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1614.5620224048128,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T01:55:34.892Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2175.2419922156996,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:10:36.989Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1614.645349415889,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:20:34.653Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2175.314162551664,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:40:34.316Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1614.707850318794,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:05:50.728Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2175.6069024593176,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1614.8924050282883,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T09:20:25.127Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2176.481581205724,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T09:25:23.709Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1615.5446377196477,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T10:40:26.267Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2176.7063828740766,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T10:45:31.600Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1615.7085232313434,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T13:20:20.570Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3299.395464415047,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T13:25:21.903Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1616.0393752790249,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T17:45:20.318Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3300.5157920961087,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T17:50:22.403Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1616.5881132792747,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T19:30:27.840Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3300.960480757163,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T19:35:23.895Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1616.8059223822418,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T20:50:28.682Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3301.2955993185146,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T20:55:25.585Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1616.9730486033302,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:00:39.360Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3305.1513051513057,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T23:25:22.532Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2182.8703403995323,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T02:00:18.272Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1620.5986224911705,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T02:35:34.076Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2183.4034205522985,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T07:45:47.255Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1621.3154865242032,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T12:56:00.730Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1284.0547616490705,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:25:54.296Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3311.889841932951,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T15:21:02.066Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2185.554537008744,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:10:42.401Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3317.7140143504807,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:25:40.864Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2189.2804715316247,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:30:40.179Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3317.8001788291517,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T20:06:02.152Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2194.4871606540632,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T05:40:54.455Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3328.1353509940673,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:30:57.459Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6811.768232107208,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:00:53.477Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3371.614717847596,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:16:35.366Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6880.275401420799,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["+11c executable edge (yes)","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["price drifted 88% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/SENATEMT-26-IND","reason":"Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?: Seth Bodn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/SENATEMT-26-R","reason":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?: Republican"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Democratics%20win%20the%20Senate%20race%20in%20Montana%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":139}