{"ticker":"SENATENE-26-R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?","description":"If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":64,"bestBid":63,"bestAsk":64,"spread":1,"volume":143011.24,"volume24h":7.6,"openInterest":88506.03,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"MAGA splits over Iran war. Anti-interventionist wing vs hawks. Joe Kent resignat","thesisSlug":"maga-splits-iran-midterms","thesisPrice":55,"edge":16,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-05T06:04:50.671Z","firstDetectedPrice":72}],"indicators":{"tauDays":523,"iyYes":41.015819563194434,"iyNo":118.91292026758123,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"sfEdgeCents":16,"sfEdgeDirection":"no","observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-29T23:56:15.140Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"SENATENE-26-DOSB","connectedTitle":"Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in Nebraska?: Dan Osbor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:SENATENE-26","groupLabel":"SENATENE-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:21:14.798Z","priceCents":68,"iy":141.8324616903778,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:25:13.203Z","priceCents":66,"iy":129.56392836970286,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T19:50:15.193Z","priceCents":67,"iy":135.52730735310047,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T21:15:18.279Z","priceCents":66,"iy":129.59189151765395,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:25:30.716Z","priceCents":67,"iy":135.56424800202802,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T21:35:24.454Z","priceCents":65,"iy":125.36079205828156,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T22:15:24.486Z","priceCents":62,"iy":110.14028455616143,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T02:40:23.536Z","priceCents":63,"iy":114.98064554969649,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T19:05:42.736Z","priceCents":64,"iy":120.42575453230783,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T21:40:50.077Z","priceCents":65,"iy":125.82689083741579,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T03:00:48.623Z","priceCents":64,"iy":121.62888569404797,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T11:17:02.498Z","priceCents":62,"iy":111.90843190226039,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T12:17:06.175Z","priceCents":63,"iy":116.79595997212742,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T12:30:42.336Z","priceCents":61,"iy":107.29057400384809,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:30:52.358Z","priceCents":62,"iy":112.02442340341187,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T14:00:49.268Z","priceCents":63,"iy":117.03173323462525,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T14:15:58.385Z","priceCents":62,"iy":112.14530145876111,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T17:31:02.423Z","priceCents":63,"iy":117.06391781547887,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T19:01:35.549Z","priceCents":61,"iy":107.54766779271708,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T19:45:47.850Z","priceCents":62,"iy":112.19368348074678,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:01:22.099Z","priceCents":63,"iy":117.11443478317555,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:00:31.766Z","priceCents":62,"iy":112.3899628760507,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T18:16:21.269Z","priceCents":63,"iy":117.29169871636616,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:01:17.103Z","priceCents":62,"iy":112.39908419828808,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:16:16.324Z","priceCents":63,"iy":117.31029606374088,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T20:31:01.413Z","priceCents":62,"iy":112.41223847886322,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T23:30:51.219Z","priceCents":63,"iy":117.34019701620642,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T15:30:23.655Z","priceCents":62,"iy":112.79356106767004,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.684Z","priceCents":63,"iy":118.4325189584737,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_short","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"16c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+16c executable edge (no)","1 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Sell 10 NO contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"SENATENE-26-R","marketTitle":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?","direction":"no","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy NO if price rises to 70c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"SENATENE-26-R","marketTitle":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?","direction":"no","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_above","triggerPrice":70},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/SENATENE-26-DOSB","reason":"Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Republicans%20win%20the%20Senate%20race%20in%20Nebraska%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":122}