# World (2026-08-19 00:02 UTC)
Regime: Broad up-skew — markets resolving toward higher probability
SimpleFunctions Index: Disagree 42 | GeoRisk 0 | Breadth +0.38 | Activity 57
Baseline: since midnight UTC

## [consensus_break] Paul Renner finish 4th in the Florida Republ…: 5 markets deeply split (σ=46¢, range 94¢)
- seriesKey: KXPRIMARYPLACE
- markets: [{"ticker":"KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-3RD-RROD","title":"Will Rachel Rodriguez finish 3rd in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?: Rachel Rodriguez","price":3},{"...
- dispersion: 46
- range: 94
- implication: markets disagree on resolution level
  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`
  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-h0jq21`

## [consensus_break] What states will redistrict Congressional el…: 17 markets deeply split (σ=45¢, range 94¢)
- seriesKey: KXREDISTRICTING
- markets: [{"ticker":"KXREDISTRICTING-26-AL","title":"What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections?: Alabama","price":87},{"ticker":"KXREDISTRICTING-26-CA","title":...
- dispersion: 45
- range: 94
- implication: markets disagree on resolution level
  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`
  → drill election-2026 · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world/election-2026`
  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-thsupp`

## [consensus_break] Dean Pennington be the Democratic nominee fo…: 6 markets deeply split (σ=44¢, range 92¢)
- seriesKey: KXNHPRIMARY
- markets: [{"ticker":"KXNHPRIMARY-01R26-ADIL","title":"Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican nominee for NH-01?: Anthony DiLorenzo","price":89},{"ticker":"KXNHPRIMARY-01R26-HNOV","titl...
- dispersion: 44
- range: 92
- implication: markets disagree on resolution level
  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`
  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-1ps04`

## [consensus_break] Democratics win the Senate race in Arkansas?: 4 markets deeply split (σ=44¢, range 91¢)
- seriesKey: SENATEAR
- markets: [{"ticker":"SENATEAR-26-D","title":"Will Democratics win the Senate race in Arkansas?: Hallie Shoffner","price":4},{"ticker":"SENATEAR-26-R","title":"Will Republicans win the Se...
- dispersion: 44
- range: 91
- implication: markets disagree on resolution level
  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`
  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-gn866`

## [consensus_break] Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois?: 3 markets deeply split (σ=43¢, range 93¢)
- seriesKey: SENATEIL
- markets: [{"ticker":"SENATEIL-26-D","title":"Will Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois?: Juliana Stratton","price":97},{"ticker":"SENATEIL-28-D","title":"Will Democratics win the ...
- dispersion: 43
- range: 93
- implication: markets disagree on resolution level
  → full spread · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=dispersion`
  → why disagree? · `GET https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world?op=explain&item=s-gn8cw`

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Path: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world
Op: dispersion · Generated in 1065ms