{"highlights":[{"slug":"college-football-playoff-and-heisman-markets-see-record-volume-notre-dame-and-ohio-state-lead-bd4929","title":"College Football Playoff and Heisman Markets See Record Volume, Notre Dame and Ohio State Lead","detail":"College football playoff and Heisman markets are the most active prediction contracts, with Notre Dame and Ohio State leading at 12¢ each, and a fragmented Heisman field with no clear favorite above 10¢. The combined volume across these markets exceeds several million, indicating strong trader interest and sentiment.","topic":"other","relatedTickers":["KXNCAAF-27-ND","KXNCAAF-27-OSU","KXHEISMAN-27-DMENS","KXHEISMAN-27-AMANN","KXNCAAF-27-TEX"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"college football playoff\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-06T06:01:47.488Z"},{"slug":"2026-us-senate-race-markets-tighten-texas-a-toss-up-senate-control-in-play-b314fc","title":"2026 US Senate Race Markets Tighten: Texas a Toss-Up, Senate Control in Play","detail":"2026 Senate race markets are heating up, with Texas a near toss-up (Republican 52¢, Democrat 48¢) and Michigan and Maine showing Democratic advantages. The overall Senate control market is split, with Republicans at 52¢ and Democrats at 47¢, signaling a highly competitive battle for the chamber.","topic":"election-2026","relatedTickers":["SENATETX-26-R","SENATETX-26-D","SENATEMI-26-D","CONTROLS-2026-R","CONTROLS-2026-D"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"2026 senate\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-06T06:01:47.488Z"},{"slug":"bitcoin-surges-5-25-driving-massive-volume-across-btc-and-bnb-price-markets-960010","title":"Bitcoin surges 5.25%, driving massive volume across BTC and BNB price markets","detail":"The IBIT Bitcoin ETF is up 5.25%, boosting bullish sentiment in crypto prediction markets. This is reflected in the enormous volume on multi-million-dollar BNB and BTC trimmed mean markets, which indicate strong trader interest in crypto price trajectories.","topic":"bitcoin","relatedTickers":["KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26SE","KXBTC2026200-27JAN01","KXBNBMINMON-BNB-26SE","KXBTC50VS100-BTC-26D"],"suggestedAction":"sf book KXBTCMAXMON","publishedAt":"2026-09-04T06:05:14.176Z"},{"slug":"trump-administration-and-press-secretary-speculation-dominate-political-markets-c46c17","title":"Trump administration and Press Secretary speculation dominate political markets","detail":"The market for the next White House Press Secretary is the single highest-volume market in the entire dataset, with Maria Bartiromo leading at 14¢. Other Trump-focused markets on resignation and impeachment are also active, signaling intense trader interest in the political landscape.","topic":"trump","relatedTickers":["KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN2","KXTRUMPREMOVE","KXTRUMPOUT27-27-DJT","KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"Trump Press Secretary\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-04T06:05:14.176Z"},{"slug":"ai-model-race-heats-up-with-gpt-6-looming-and-high-volume-on-best-ai-contracts-15cf83","title":"AI model race heats up with GPT-6 looming and high volume on 'Best AI' contracts","detail":"OpenAI is heavily favored to release GPT-6 soon (99¢), but the market for 'Best AI on Dec 31, 2026' shows a tight race, with Anthropic (61¢) leading over OpenAI (22¢). This competitive dynamic is drawing significant volume and trader interest.","topic":"ai-tech","relatedTickers":["KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP16","KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI","KXLLM1-26DEC31-A","KXAISPIKE-27B-1520","KXCODEAI-26SEP30-CHA"],"suggestedAction":"sf book KXLLM1","publishedAt":"2026-09-04T06:05:14.176Z"},{"slug":"ai-race-heats-up-gpt-6-release-nears-certainty-but-best-ai-title-still-open-639a15","title":"AI Race Heats Up: GPT‑6 Release Nears Certainty, But Best AI Title Still Open","detail":"OpenAI’s GPT‑6 release before Oct 1 is priced at 87¢, while the ‘Best AI on Dec 31, 2026’ market shows OpenAI leading at 68¢ but with heavy volume on multiple sub‑contracts. The discrepancy between the generic ‘OpenAI’ contract (68¢) and the specific ticker KXLLM1-26DEC31‑OAI (20¢) presents an arbitrage opportunity. Traders should monitor upcoming model benchmarks.","topic":"ai-tech","relatedTickers":["KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI","KXLLM1-26DEC31-A","KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01","KXGPT-ASTRA-26SEP18","KXCODINGMODEL-26DEC-"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"best AI 2026\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-03T06:06:21.683Z"},{"slug":"midterms-2026-democrats-favored-for-house-senate-a-coin-flip-679f09","title":"Midterms 2026: Democrats Favored for House, Senate a Coin Flip","detail":"The 2026 US midterm elections are the most traded topic, with the House control market at 84¢ for Democrats and Senate control essentially tied at 52¢ Republican vs 47¢ Democratic. The Texas Senate race is a pure 50/50 toss‑up. Brazilian election shows Lula leading but not decisively. Any new polling data or candidate announcements will move these markets sharply.","topic":"election-2026","relatedTickers":["CONTROLH-2026-D","CONTROLS-2026-R","SENATETX-26-R","SENATETX-26-D","KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-"],"suggestedAction":"sf book CONTROLH-2026-D","publishedAt":"2026-09-03T06:06:21.683Z"},{"slug":"alien-confirmation-market-explodes-in-volume-despite-3-probability-13acec","title":"Alien Confirmation Market Explodes in Volume Despite 3% Probability","detail":"The ‘Will the U.S. confirm aliens exist before 2027?’ contract (KXALIENS-27) has seen 181k volume traded, making it one of the most active markets overall, yet the price sits at just 3¢. This extreme asymmetry – tiny probability but massive interest – suggests speculative frenzy or hedging by UFO enthusiasts. Similar low‑probability, high‑volume dynamics play out in sports championships.","topic":"other","relatedTickers":["KXALIENS-27","KXALIENS-26OCT","KXALIENS-27-29","KXSB-27-DEN"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"aliens\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-03T06:06:21.683Z"},{"slug":"oil-surges-5-as-supply-fears-reignite-a8aac8","title":"Oil Surges 5% as Supply Fears Reignite","detail":"USO jumped 5.01% to $140.91, pushing WTI futures markets into focus. Traders are piling into upside cap contracts like KXWTIMAX above $100.50 as geopolitical risk reprices.","topic":"oil","relatedTickers":["USO","KXWTIMAX-26SEP30-T10","KXWTI-26NOV03-T76.99"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"oil price surge\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-02T06:03:49.716Z"},{"slug":"2026-midterm-control-tightens-house-favors-dems-senate-a-toss-up-96afda","title":"2026 Midterm Control Tightens: House Favors Dems, Senate a Toss-Up","detail":"Democrats hold a strong 84¢ probability to win the House, but the Senate remains nearly 50/50. Key races in Texas, Michigan, and Maine are driving heavy volume and narrow spreads.","topic":"election-2026","relatedTickers":["CONTROLH-2026-D","CONTROLS-2026-D","SENATETX-26-D","SENATEMI-26-R"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"2026 midterm control\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-02T06:03:49.716Z"},{"slug":"trump-administration-turmoil-hegseth-departure-odds-at-31-73d1d2","title":"Trump Administration Turmoil: Hegseth Departure Odds at 31%","detail":"Pete Hegseth's probability of leaving the Defense Secretary role before 2027 is 31¢ with 31,585 volume. Combined with 15¢ impeachment odds, markets are pricing a non-trivial chance of major upheaval.","topic":"trump","relatedTickers":["KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26-PHEG","KXTRUMPREMOVE","KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN2"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"trump administration\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-02T06:03:49.716Z"},{"slug":"ai-model-race-gpt-6-release-a-coin-flip-astra-heavily-favored-f2534a","title":"AI Model Race: GPT-6 Release a Coin Flip, Astra Heavily Favored","detail":"OpenAI's GPT-6 release before Oct 2026 is at 47¢, while its Astra model is at 83¢. Anthropic's Mythos is a long-shot at 9¢. Waymo expansion is near certain, reflecting broader autonomous driving confidence.","topic":"ai-tech","relatedTickers":["KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01","KXGPT-ASTRA-26OCT01","KXLLM1-26DEC31-A","KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC-DE"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"ai model release\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-02T06:03:49.716Z"},{"slug":"fed-rate-decision-heats-up-56-probability-for-a-september-hike-32196b","title":"Fed Rate Decision Heats Up: 56¢ Probability for a September Hike","detail":"The largest macro market today revolves around the Fed's September 2026 decision. The 'Hike by 25bps' contract sits at 56¢, implying a 56% chance of tightening. Over 1.7M contracts have traded across the rate decision complex, making it the most active macro event on the board. The hold-at-0bps market is trading at 41¢ with 1.2M volume alone.","topic":"fed-rate","relatedTickers":["KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-","KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-","KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-","KXFED-26SEP-T3.75"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"fed rate hike september\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-01T06:03:08.863Z"},{"slug":"2026-midterm-elections-house-firmly-democratic-senate-up-for-grabs-83e0e3","title":"2026 Midterm Elections: House Firmly Democratic, Senate Up for Grabs","detail":"The 2026 midterm elections are the second biggest political betting theme. Democrats are strong favorites to hold the House at 84¢, while the Senate is a coin flip (Republicans at 51¢ vs Democrats at 48¢). Key races in Michigan, Texas, and North Carolina are drawing heavy traffic.","topic":"election-2026","relatedTickers":["CONTROLH-2026-D","CONTROLH-2026-R","CONTROLS-2026-R","CONTROLS-2026-D","SENATEMI-26-R","SENATETX-26-R"],"suggestedAction":"sf book CONTROLH-2026","publishedAt":"2026-09-01T06:03:08.863Z"},{"slug":"ai-arms-race-market-bets-on-gpt-6-release-and-anthropic-s-lead-495fc2","title":"AI Arms Race: Market Bets on GPT-6 Release and Anthropic's Lead","detail":"AI tech markets are buzzing with speculation on the next major model release from OpenAI, Google, and xAI. The most traded contracts focus on whether OpenAI will release GPT-6 by October 2026 (40¢) and the race to be the 'Best AI' by year-end. NVIDIA compute pricing is also a popular sub-theme.","topic":"ai-tech","relatedTickers":["KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01","KXLLM1-26DEC31-A","KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI","KXGEMINI-NEXTFLASH-2","KXH100WS-26SEP25-2.2"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"gpt-6 release\"","publishedAt":"2026-09-01T06:03:08.863Z"},{"slug":"trump-administration-turmoil-cabinet-exit-bets-spike-31b51a","title":"Trump Administration Turmoil: Cabinet Exit Bets Spike","detail":"Trump-related political markets remain extremely active, with a focus on cabinet turnover. Pete Hegseth's departure odds sit at 26¢ with over 33,000 volume, while the market for a Trump resignation is at 20¢. The race to be the next White House Press Secretary is also drawing action, with Anna Kelly leading at 25¢.","topic":"trump","relatedTickers":["KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26","KXTRUMPRESIGN","KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN2","KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26"],"suggestedAction":"sf book KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE","publishedAt":"2026-09-01T06:03:08.863Z"},{"slug":"2026-midterm-election-markets-signal-competitive-senate-and-governor-races-bde4c5","title":"2026 Midterm Election Markets Signal Competitive Senate and Governor Races","detail":"Republicans are favored to win Florida's governorship at 80¢, while Democrats lead in Massachusetts at 94¢. The Senate control market is a toss-up (52¢ GOP, 48¢ Dem). High-volume individual Senate races include Texas (50¢ each party) and Michigan (63¢ Dem, 36¢ GOP).","topic":"election-2026","relatedTickers":["GOVPARTYFL-26-R","CONTROLS-2026-D","SENATEMI-26-D","KXPRESNOMR-28-JDV"],"suggestedAction":"sf book CONTROLS-2026-D","publishedAt":"2026-08-31T06:04:48.559Z"},{"slug":"trump-mention-markets-dominate-volume-with-event-based-contracts-443d9e","title":"Trump Mention Markets Dominate Volume with Event-Based Contracts","detail":"Over 55 markets track Donald Trump's statements and actions, with individual mention contracts seeing up to 73,620 volume. The impeachment probability stands at 66¢, and approval rating decline contracts are active at 24¢. These markets are highly event-driven and attract significant retail speculation.","topic":"trump","relatedTickers":["KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20","KXTRUMPOUT27-27-DJT","KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"trump impeachment\"","publishedAt":"2026-08-31T06:04:48.559Z"},{"slug":"fed-rate-decision-markets-see-massive-volume-as-september-2026-meeting-approaches-2b1b22","title":"Fed Rate Decision Markets See Massive Volume as September 2026 Meeting Approaches","detail":"The KXFEDDECISION contracts are the most heavily traded prediction markets overall, with over 500K volume on the 'hike 0bps' outcome. The market currently prices a 46% chance of no change and 53% for a 25bp hike, reflecting deep uncertainty about the Fed's next move.","topic":"fed-rate","relatedTickers":["KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-","KXFED-26SEP-T3.75","KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-"],"suggestedAction":"sf query \"fed rate cut\"","publishedAt":"2026-08-31T06:04:48.559Z"},{"slug":"fed-hold-steady-3c8c46","title":"Fed Hold Steady","detail":"Markets price 53% for no change in September 2026. No hike expected. Massive volume signals this is the core macro view.","topic":"fed-rate","relatedTickers":["KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-0bps","KXFED-26SEP-T3.75"],"suggestedAction":"Book KXFEDDECISION","publishedAt":"2026-08-29T06:07:20.126Z"}],"total":20,"limit":20,"offset":0,"count":20,"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Inspect KXNCAAF-27-ND","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNCAAF-27-ND"}],"related":[{"description":"Trade ideas","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/ideas"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"},{"description":"Contagion gaps","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"}]}}