{"ticker":"0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a","venue":"polymarket","title":"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the \"leader of Iran\" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nRoles that could qualify for \"leader of Iran\" status include, but are not limited to, \"head of state,\" \"prime minister,\" or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran.\n\nA qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":14,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":14,"spread":1,"volume":541234.673776003,"volume24h":3519.062974000001,"openInterest":40967.5042,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":887.4501710440755,"iyNo":23.51814947601931,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0714,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":412.04,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T08:23:24.230Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?: Before 2027","confidenceScore":0.78,"closeTimeDeltaSec":104340,"matchMethod":"fts-llm","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":12,"indicators":{"ee":9,"las":null,"cvr":null,"tauDays":254,"iyYes":1054.3952393332756,"iyNo":19.606523045453468}},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"volume24h":3519.062974000001,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T08:27:29.776Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T08:27:29.777Z"}