{"ticker":"0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc","venue":"polymarket","title":"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":37,"bestBid":36,"bestAsk":37,"spread":1,"volume":209235.04145500014,"volume24h":1573.300134,"openInterest":46698.2845,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","bidLevels":[{"price":36,"size":100},{"price":35,"size":654},{"price":34,"size":2600},{"price":32,"size":791},{"price":27,"size":37},{"price":26,"size":1861},{"price":25,"size":2500},{"price":23,"size":1043}],"askLevels":[{"price":37,"size":5404},{"price":38,"size":1200},{"price":40,"size":300},{"price":41,"size":452},{"price":43,"size":67},{"price":44,"size":338},{"price":45,"size":2178},{"price":46,"size":1426}],"edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":50,"edge":14,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-05T06:05:00.829Z","firstDetectedPrice":36}],"slug":"pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-decemb-polymarket-0x0fcfcfc35d","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":263.75524614288776,"iyNo":90.97529150154028,"cri":1.703,"ee":13,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.027,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":128.32,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T08:53:27.336Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":14,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:56:30.831Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-decemb-polymarket-0x0fcfcfc35d","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T09:01:50.060Z"}