{"ticker":"0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTakes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.\n\nAn official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.","price":20,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":25,"spread":11,"volume":39217.31463499998,"volume24h":67.06,"openInterest":3314.0925,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":577.3968891753901,"iyNo":36.08730557346188,"cri":4,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3,"cvr":null,"overround":3.69,"rv":2295.12,"vr":9.292,"iar":4.26,"adjIy":404.18,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T03:23:21.137Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANDU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?: Anduril","confidenceScore":0.72,"closeTimeDeltaSec":104340,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":22,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.0909,"cvr":null,"tauDays":254,"iyYes":509.3502537090252,"iyNo":40.52030289203948}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":11,"volume24h":67.06},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T03:37:20.050Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANDU"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x11c846106277b0b0eccd71a5c7297073c646bf5a19a8ef92b2f9305e97e2be38","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T03:37:20.051Z"}