{"ticker":"0x20ae35bd487697804e51fbd1e2a2019b977ba0ead721d3cd743211c3e16b15e1","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?","description":"This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","price":89,"bestBid":87,"bestAsk":89,"spread":2,"volume":302031.7316759999,"volume24h":11817.809249000002,"openInterest":19632.2145,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-31","liquidityScore":"high","bidLevels":[{"price":87,"size":1512},{"price":86,"size":1885},{"price":85,"size":705},{"price":84,"size":156},{"price":83,"size":500},{"price":82,"size":550},{"price":81,"size":1727},{"price":80,"size":2200}],"askLevels":[{"price":89,"size":258},{"price":90,"size":1521},{"price":91,"size":2119},{"price":92,"size":1859},{"price":93,"size":1751},{"price":94,"size":3451},{"price":95,"size":3443},{"price":96,"size":1393}],"edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":75,"edge":-13,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-10T06:05:33.605Z","firstDetectedPrice":42}],"slug":"avg-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-ma-polymarket-0x20ae35bd48","indicators":{"tauDays":2,"iyYes":2047.7693849551429,"iyNo":100000,"cri":8.091,"ee":-14,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0112,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":128.82,"vr":0.256,"iar":0.58,"adjIy":84377.6,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T19:08:25.327Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":9235,"askDepthUsd":15795,"volume24h":11817.809249000002,"sfEdgeCents":-13,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T19:19:39.919Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x20ae35bd487697804e51fbd1e2a2019b977ba0ead721d3cd743211c3e16b15e1","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x20ae35bd487697804e51fbd1e2a2019b977ba0ead721d3cd743211c3e16b15e1"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/avg-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-ma-polymarket-0x20ae35bd48","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x20ae35bd487697804e51fbd1e2a2019b977ba0ead721d3cd743211c3e16b15e1","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x20ae35bd487697804e51fbd1e2a2019b977ba0ead721d3cd743211c3e16b15e1","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T19:19:39.919Z"}