{"ticker":"0x293a15dc69de092ea5f669af2a0207d7b9dbf32b8e53eae53cdea7785d915747","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":28,"bestBid":22,"bestAsk":35,"spread":13,"volume":7872.443306000002,"volume24h":10,"openInterest":1915.3638,"status":"open","slug":"who-will-be-arrested-before-2027-jos-luis-rodrguez-polymarket-0x293a15dc69","indicators":{"tauDays":null,"iyYes":null,"iyNo":null,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4643,"cvr":null,"overround":2.76,"rv":365.84,"vr":null,"iar":0.65,"adjIy":null,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-08T03:38:23.480Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T03:57:01.039Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x293a15dc69de092ea5f669af2a0207d7b9dbf32b8e53eae53cdea7785d915747","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x293a15dc69de092ea5f669af2a0207d7b9dbf32b8e53eae53cdea7785d915747"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x293a15dc69de092ea5f669af2a0207d7b9dbf32b8e53eae53cdea7785d915747?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027-jos-luis-rodrguez-polymarket-0x293a15dc69","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x293a15dc69de092ea5f669af2a0207d7b9dbf32b8e53eae53cdea7785d915747","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x293a15dc69de092ea5f669af2a0207d7b9dbf32b8e53eae53cdea7785d915747","fetchedAt":"2026-06-08T03:57:29.440Z"}