{"ticker":"0x2b54732fd099106b310d45e1f51916a8c46129ecaa38389dd4eeee44b7585439","venue":"polymarket","title":"Evo Morales arrested by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":47,"bestBid":32,"bestAsk":53,"spread":21,"volume":593.566819,"volume24h":95.23289,"openInterest":165.2871,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","liquidityScore":"low","bidLevels":[{"price":32,"size":14},{"price":31,"size":20},{"price":24,"size":23},{"price":22,"size":20},{"price":21,"size":20},{"price":20,"size":50},{"price":10,"size":75},{"price":8,"size":381}],"askLevels":[{"price":53,"size":13},{"price":65,"size":5},{"price":84,"size":12},{"price":85,"size":45},{"price":88,"size":149},{"price":89,"size":273},{"price":94,"size":9},{"price":95,"size":20}],"slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30-polymarket-0x2b54732fd0","indicators":{"tauDays":32,"iyYes":1227.8876709209287,"iyNo":1046.247482914874,"cri":1.083,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4375,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":1103.66,"vr":2.428,"iar":2.27,"adjIy":690.69,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T19:08:25.333Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T19:20:40.570Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x2b54732fd099106b310d45e1f51916a8c46129ecaa38389dd4eeee44b7585439","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x2b54732fd099106b310d45e1f51916a8c46129ecaa38389dd4eeee44b7585439"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/evo-morales-arrested-by-june-30-polymarket-0x2b54732fd0","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x2b54732fd099106b310d45e1f51916a8c46129ecaa38389dd4eeee44b7585439","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x2b54732fd099106b310d45e1f51916a8c46129ecaa38389dd4eeee44b7585439","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T19:21:10.072Z"}