{"ticker":"0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTakes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.\n\nAn official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.","price":16,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":19,"spread":6,"volume":634.6228340000001,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1343.7597,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":758.5834233934656,"iyNo":27.522301075499893,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3125,"cvr":null,"overround":2.42,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":260.76,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T09:23:24.105Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANTH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anthropic?: Anthropic","confidenceScore":0.76,"closeTimeDeltaSec":104340,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":10,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.6,"cvr":null,"tauDays":254,"iyYes":1294.2446496674756,"iyNo":15.978329008240442}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T09:24:07.336Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANTH"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T09:25:58.107Z"}