{"ticker":"0x344d7c781176ec4f5c5c58b0ccf4f23d0e7d6d60a8ce107375b9e60f86dcbbd8","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24?","description":"The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol.\n\nIf for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.","price":7,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":13,"spread":12,"volume":506.41236599999996,"volume24h":2.5,"openInterest":1329.88512,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-11","indicators":{"tauDays":18,"iyYes":27121.284755512937,"iyNo":153.65278679848936,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.7143,"cvr":null,"overround":0.95,"rv":2117.78,"vr":1.416,"iar":1.61,"adjIy":0,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-23T02:53:24.893Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXAMERICANIDOL-26DEC31-BRA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?: Braden Rumfelt","confidenceScore":0.78,"closeTimeDeltaSec":20876400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":3,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"tauDays":260,"iyYes":4547.760801012184,"iyNo":4.350074100234845}},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"low","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-23T02:56:39.448Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x344d7c781176ec4f5c5c58b0ccf4f23d0e7d6d60a8ce107375b9e60f86dcbbd8","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x344d7c781176ec4f5c5c58b0ccf4f23d0e7d6d60a8ce107375b9e60f86dcbbd8"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXAMERICANIDOL-26DEC31-BRA"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x344d7c781176ec4f5c5c58b0ccf4f23d0e7d6d60a8ce107375b9e60f86dcbbd8?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0x344d7c781176ec4f5c5c58b0ccf4f23d0e7d6d60a8ce107375b9e60f86dcbbd8","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x344d7c781176ec4f5c5c58b0ccf4f23d0e7d6d60a8ce107375b9e60f86dcbbd8","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x344d7c781176ec4f5c5c58b0ccf4f23d0e7d6d60a8ce107375b9e60f86dcbbd8","fetchedAt":"2026-04-23T02:56:44.221Z"}