{"ticker":"0x34754b217c530433402b30f238fee045760592c93c06f977b0a805911005c723","venue":"polymarket","title":"Evo Morales arrested by May 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":21,"bestBid":19,"bestAsk":23,"spread":4,"volume":33757.906685000016,"volume24h":5151.037877999999,"openInterest":3636.1302,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-31","slug":"evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-polymarket-0x34754b217c","indicators":{"tauDays":2,"iyYes":62928.28772205491,"iyNo":4446.6231189594955,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2381,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":2137.12,"vr":0.71,"iar":0.98,"adjIy":47945.06,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T19:38:25.307Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"volume24h":5151.037877999999},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:01:20.190Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x34754b217c530433402b30f238fee045760592c93c06f977b0a805911005c723","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x34754b217c530433402b30f238fee045760592c93c06f977b0a805911005c723"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x34754b217c530433402b30f238fee045760592c93c06f977b0a805911005c723?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/evo-morales-arrested-by-may-31-polymarket-0x34754b217c","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x34754b217c530433402b30f238fee045760592c93c06f977b0a805911005c723","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x34754b217c530433402b30f238fee045760592c93c06f977b0a805911005c723","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T20:01:20.190Z"}