{"ticker":"0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":56,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":79,"spread":46,"volume":5774.380478,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":82.9078,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-02-28","slug":"will-ivn-archivaldo-guzmn-salazar-be-arrested-in-2-polymarket-0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076","indicators":null,"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":46,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T23:44:48.498Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-ivn-archivaldo-guzmn-salazar-be-arrested-in-2-polymarket-0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x37959dc30829a2d36be8f1e05239b55a5ecf62c258435e47c1ddef4264a1a076","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T23:44:48.499Z"}