{"ticker":"0x3c1312e1589df1405a01bc9b481f89f012a5c263dae8712e1e5af70ab5240480","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.","price":0,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":0,"spread":0,"volume":679.432142,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":33718.2008,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","bidLevels":[{"price":0,"size":8339},{"price":0,"size":5}],"askLevels":[{"price":0,"size":343},{"price":1,"size":206},{"price":2,"size":30},{"price":2,"size":60},{"price":3,"size":30},{"price":6,"size":30},{"price":6,"size":5},{"price":6,"size":30}],"slug":"will-diosdado-cabello-rondn-be-the-de-facto-leader-polymarket-0x3c1312e1589df1405a01bc9b481f89f012a5c263dae8712e1e5af70ab5240480","indicators":null,"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DCAB","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Diosdado Cabello de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?: Diosdado Cabello","confidenceScore":0.867,"closeTimeDeltaSec":190740,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":null,"indicators":null},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T05:24:48.625Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x3c1312e1589df1405a01bc9b481f89f012a5c263dae8712e1e5af70ab5240480","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x3c1312e1589df1405a01bc9b481f89f012a5c263dae8712e1e5af70ab5240480"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DCAB"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-diosdado-cabello-rondn-be-the-de-facto-leader-polymarket-0x3c1312e1589df1405a01bc9b481f89f012a5c263dae8712e1e5af70ab5240480","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x3c1312e1589df1405a01bc9b481f89f012a5c263dae8712e1e5af70ab5240480","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x3c1312e1589df1405a01bc9b481f89f012a5c263dae8712e1e5af70ab5240480","fetchedAt":"2026-06-08T05:25:09.328Z"}