{"ticker":"0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":25,"bestBid":23,"bestAsk":26,"spread":3,"volume":2645.449856,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2246.534,"status":"open","liquidityScore":"medium","bidLevels":[{"price":23,"size":52},{"price":22,"size":34},{"price":7,"size":192},{"price":5,"size":2000},{"price":4,"size":100},{"price":2,"size":250},{"price":1,"size":650}],"askLevels":[{"price":26,"size":85},{"price":27,"size":63},{"price":29,"size":551},{"price":63,"size":5},{"price":64,"size":250},{"price":69,"size":286},{"price":73,"size":183},{"price":74,"size":333}],"slug":"who-will-be-arrested-before-2027-james-clapper-polymarket-0x44cd8b15be","indicators":{"tauDays":null,"iyYes":null,"iyNo":null,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.12,"cvr":null,"overround":2.76,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":null,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-08T03:38:23.491Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T03:57:00.913Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027-james-clapper-polymarket-0x44cd8b15be","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x44cd8b15befa5d0ce8e20dcefc25b91bf44907d6f83d148c7b600336d990085b","fetchedAt":"2026-06-08T03:58:13.552Z"}