{"ticker":"0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":3,"spread":0,"volume":8553207.67507211,"volume24h":30648.203337,"openInterest":409536.10521,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-11-07","slug":"republican-presidential-nominee-2028-donald-trump-polymarket-0x4a9d58d4da","indicators":{"tauDays":897,"iyYes":1315.659901636725,"iyNo":1.2584694563429188,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.23,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":657.83,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-24T23:38:24.445Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?: Donald J. Trump Jr.","confidenceScore":0.88,"closeTimeDeltaSec":26816400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":22,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.1818,"cvr":null,"tauDays":587,"iyYes":220.59370467252643,"iyNo":17.54887459919507}},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-24T23:45:57.768Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KX2028RRUN-28-DJTJR"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/republican-presidential-nominee-2028-donald-trump-polymarket-0x4a9d58d4da","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557","fetchedAt":"2026-05-24T23:46:11.465Z"}