{"ticker":"0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","venue":"polymarket","title":"Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":13,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":14,"spread":3,"volume":76772.33310200003,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":9511.0304,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-50m-polymarket-0x4b5d821d5b","indicators":{"tauDays":602,"iyYes":405.9496325871385,"iyNo":9.064009500228092,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3077,"cvr":null,"overround":0.14,"rv":1204.55,"vr":5.739,"iar":2.56,"adjIy":281.04,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T06:38:25.854Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:44:37.904Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-50m-polymarket-0x4b5d821d5b","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T06:46:51.944Z"}