{"ticker":"0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","venue":"polymarket","title":"Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":13,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":14,"spread":3,"volume":76772.33310200003,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":9512.1304,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","liquidityScore":"medium","bidLevels":[{"price":11,"size":83},{"price":9,"size":102},{"price":7,"size":655},{"price":6,"size":6},{"price":5,"size":1890},{"price":4,"size":426},{"price":3,"size":348},{"price":2,"size":18}],"askLevels":[{"price":15,"size":24},{"price":16,"size":231},{"price":17,"size":200},{"price":18,"size":300},{"price":20,"size":100},{"price":22,"size":24},{"price":23,"size":12},{"price":24,"size":100}],"slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-50m-polymarket-0x4b5d821d5b","indicators":{"tauDays":602,"iyYes":405.99146491002534,"iyNo":9.064943528840573,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2308,"cvr":null,"overround":0.13,"rv":1210.55,"vr":5.768,"iar":2.58,"adjIy":312.29,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T08:08:28.962Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":3528,"askDepthUsd":991,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:20:33.734Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-50m-polymarket-0x4b5d821d5b","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4b5d821d5b477953ac6ace9ec9155cf1a65e52780cd4d4b443ccce216cd79b1c","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T08:20:33.734Z"}