{"ticker":"0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"May\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.","price":0,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":0,"spread":0,"volume":21258.055379,"volume24h":250,"openInterest":7977.51712,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-10","slug":"will-global-temperature-increase-by-more-than-129c-polymarket-0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8","indicators":null,"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:43:18.606Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-global-temperature-increase-by-more-than-129c-polymarket-0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x556163092fdb495e7a02704f01691bbe6494d2dbf6e2341b07433d83f3953cb8","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T20:43:24.839Z"}