{"ticker":"0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46","venue":"polymarket","title":"Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":6,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":11,"spread":10,"volume":184.19258599999995,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":474.35617,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-1b-polymarket-0x6a85bc92e7","indicators":{"tauDays":602,"iyYes":950.3265345239145,"iyNo":3.871860032012327,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":0.14,"rv":3768.42,"vr":13.037,"iar":4.02,"adjIy":0,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T06:38:25.854Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:46:39.759Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-1b-polymarket-0x6a85bc92e7","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T06:46:39.759Z"}