{"ticker":"0x6f287dfb4b51e34f11a39addd7a5a712f3fd955e16bacedb67110cf0b32a3e05","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":49,"bestBid":26,"bestAsk":72,"spread":46,"volume":5837.768299000003,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":340.6444,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-02-28","liquidityScore":"low","bidLevels":[{"price":26,"size":20},{"price":25,"size":166},{"price":18,"size":40},{"price":5,"size":12},{"price":4,"size":3500},{"price":2,"size":6506},{"price":1,"size":950}],"askLevels":[{"price":72,"size":10},{"price":97,"size":20},{"price":98,"size":100},{"price":99,"size":119}],"slug":"will-jess-alfredo-guzmn-salazar-be-arrested-in-202-polymarket-0x6f287dfb4b51e34f11a39addd7a5a712f3fd955e16bacedb67110cf0b32a3e05","indicators":null,"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T23:43:14.816Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x6f287dfb4b51e34f11a39addd7a5a712f3fd955e16bacedb67110cf0b32a3e05","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6f287dfb4b51e34f11a39addd7a5a712f3fd955e16bacedb67110cf0b32a3e05"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-jess-alfredo-guzmn-salazar-be-arrested-in-202-polymarket-0x6f287dfb4b51e34f11a39addd7a5a712f3fd955e16bacedb67110cf0b32a3e05","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x6f287dfb4b51e34f11a39addd7a5a712f3fd955e16bacedb67110cf0b32a3e05","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6f287dfb4b51e34f11a39addd7a5a712f3fd955e16bacedb67110cf0b32a3e05","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T23:44:39.501Z"}