{"ticker":"0x7076d314f797990f0fb55b12ac39705e2377aafa3c56cc46b6b90c77d57275c4","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?","description":"Zohran Mamdani has proposed adding a flat 2% tax on New York City residents earning above $1,000,000 annually. You can read more about that here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/14-aM9DKG337SDMilmfQtLRR-pDwyWSTc/view\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:\n\n1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.\n\n2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).\n\nWhen the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.\n\nThe policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.\n\nPolicies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.\n\nIf Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":6,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":58861.84263400001,"volume24h":3.22,"openInterest":17081.7633,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","bidLevels":[{"price":5,"size":1207},{"price":4,"size":3658},{"price":3,"size":2262},{"price":2,"size":8154},{"price":1,"size":5095}],"askLevels":[{"price":6,"size":859},{"price":7,"size":447},{"price":8,"size":147},{"price":9,"size":70},{"price":11,"size":70},{"price":12,"size":11},{"price":13,"size":76},{"price":15,"size":76}],"slug":"will-mamdani-pass-the-2-millionaire-tax-before-202-polymarket-0x7076d314f7","indicators":{"tauDays":216,"iyYes":2645.661762437926,"iyNo":10.779065578063076,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":1102.31,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T20:38:25.260Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXNYCTAXMILLIONS-27JAN01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?: Yes","confidenceScore":0.78,"closeTimeDeltaSec":104340,"matchMethod":"fts-llm","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":9,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"tauDays":217,"iyYes":1697.9937959197027,"iyNo":16.60880297904793}},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":20376,"askDepthUsd":1756,"volume24h":3.22,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:43:17.709Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x7076d314f797990f0fb55b12ac39705e2377aafa3c56cc46b6b90c77d57275c4","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7076d314f797990f0fb55b12ac39705e2377aafa3c56cc46b6b90c77d57275c4"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXNYCTAXMILLIONS-27JAN01"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-mamdani-pass-the-2-millionaire-tax-before-202-polymarket-0x7076d314f7","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x7076d314f797990f0fb55b12ac39705e2377aafa3c56cc46b6b90c77d57275c4","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7076d314f797990f0fb55b12ac39705e2377aafa3c56cc46b6b90c77d57275c4","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T20:43:17.709Z"}