{"ticker":"0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.\n\nAn announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\" Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":9,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":12,"spread":6,"volume":31596.55596,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":12558.8009,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","indicators":{"tauDays":245,"iyYes":1339.9959208647767,"iyNo":16.543159516849094,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6,"cvr":null,"overround":0.69,"rv":2681.62,"vr":20.272,"iar":3.02,"adjIy":536,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-29T20:23:56.787Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will recognize Palestine?: The Netherlands","confidenceScore":0.78,"closeTimeDeltaSec":104340,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":11,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"tauDays":246,"iyYes":1198.7359120393162,"iyNo":18.31170879393476}},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-29T20:28:24.413Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","fetchedAt":"2026-04-29T20:29:47.625Z"}