{"ticker":"0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nNote: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.","price":13,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":14,"spread":2,"volume":39518.24764200002,"volume24h":1023.3299999999999,"openInterest":14001.5297,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-04-30","indicators":{"tauDays":8,"iyYes":30201.438027847526,"iyNo":674.335186511591,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1538,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.04,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":12778.23,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-21T21:53:18.144Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"volume24h":1023.3299999999999},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:54:48.832Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7dd9325e532b5e15ed51b5f9dc0fb673fb3f008471241a78476ce28de0b3dde7","fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T21:54:48.832Z"}