{"ticker":"0x9903e1a6d90a15c1eb83271ad3afefa7cbd798cf7493881676eee2bbaa516dd6","venue":"polymarket","title":"US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?","description":"The CDC estimates a general fertility rate of 53.3 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q4 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the initial reported rate for Q1 2026 exceeds 53.3, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nIf the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q1 2026 by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q1 2026, regardless of any subsequent revisions.\n\nThe resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.","price":7,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":10,"spread":7,"volume":251.79564399999998,"volume24h":83.58,"openInterest":1581.8813,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","slug":"us-fertility-rate-up-in-q1-2026-polymarket-0x9903e1a6d9","indicators":{"tauDays":216,"iyYes":2243.149621284711,"iyNo":12.708328297254118,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":4787.55,"vr":20.723,"iar":1.96,"adjIy":0,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T19:38:25.352Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"volume24h":83.58},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:01:35.305Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x9903e1a6d90a15c1eb83271ad3afefa7cbd798cf7493881676eee2bbaa516dd6","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9903e1a6d90a15c1eb83271ad3afefa7cbd798cf7493881676eee2bbaa516dd6"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x9903e1a6d90a15c1eb83271ad3afefa7cbd798cf7493881676eee2bbaa516dd6?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/us-fertility-rate-up-in-q1-2026-polymarket-0x9903e1a6d9","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x9903e1a6d90a15c1eb83271ad3afefa7cbd798cf7493881676eee2bbaa516dd6","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9903e1a6d90a15c1eb83271ad3afefa7cbd798cf7493881676eee2bbaa516dd6","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T20:01:35.306Z"}