{"ticker":"0x9d98999001bd1128b5ed4a4d7e1b1db0a11ace2926fb64f5ae5e21bef6b7e6b4","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"10 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).","price":51,"bestBid":36,"bestAsk":66,"spread":30,"volume":35381.74301799998,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":326.0016,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","slug":"how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-before-202-polymarket-0x9d98999001","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":142.93177879251363,"iyNo":167.7463237217695,"cri":1.083,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4423,"cvr":null,"overround":0.9,"rv":908.83,"vr":7.592,"iar":2.39,"adjIy":93.55,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T06:38:25.814Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":30,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:45:44.803Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0x9d98999001bd1128b5ed4a4d7e1b1db0a11ace2926fb64f5ae5e21bef6b7e6b4","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9d98999001bd1128b5ed4a4d7e1b1db0a11ace2926fb64f5ae5e21bef6b7e6b4"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x9d98999001bd1128b5ed4a4d7e1b1db0a11ace2926fb64f5ae5e21bef6b7e6b4?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-before-202-polymarket-0x9d98999001","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x9d98999001bd1128b5ed4a4d7e1b1db0a11ace2926fb64f5ae5e21bef6b7e6b4","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9d98999001bd1128b5ed4a4d7e1b1db0a11ace2926fb64f5ae5e21bef6b7e6b4","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T06:45:44.803Z"}