{"ticker":"0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?","description":"This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nOnly military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":44,"bestBid":41,"bestAsk":48,"spread":8,"volume":7052.637957000007,"volume24h":122.51022,"openInterest":21493.97668,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-04-30","indicators":{"tauDays":8,"iyYes":5833.799504526618,"iyNo":3601.4782655495956,"cri":1.273,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1818,"cvr":null,"overround":0.05,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":2386.61,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T00:53:18.320Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:54:17.522Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xa39e59a436f93cd170395a2ad3595a62149f4bf8919157052fbb88fbad9a1208","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T01:00:55.659Z"}